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Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 17:53

Race 10

Class 3 1400m Course C+3 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.99
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 SOUTH STAR Closed strongly TT 1.20.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor 4 2.8 1/2
2 1 JUNEAU PRIDE B Avdulla · J Size 10 7.5 1/2
3 7 STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes 1 16.0 1-1/4
4 2 ANOTHER WORLD Closed strongly CP Z Purton · T P Yung 7 2.2 1-1/4
5 13 SUGAR BALL TT M F Poon · W K Mo 3 44.0 2-1/4
6 8 TARGET AUDIENCE Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes 5 50.0 3-1/2
7 4 BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT J Orman · A S Cruz 9 24.0 4
8 5 MEGA FORCE Closed strongly H- K C Leung · P C Ng 13 157.0 4-1/4
9 12 CALL ME GORGEOUS M Chadwick · K W Lui 12 34.0 5
10 6 RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · D Eustace 11 186.0 5-3/4
11 9 BRIGHT DAY CP/TT P N Wong · K L Man 6 111.0 5-3/4
12 3 ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 2 63.0 6
13 10 NEW FOREST Led early TT L Hewitson · M Newnham 8 14.0 6-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 3 over 1400m. SOUTH STAR, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with JUNEAU PRIDE second and STELLAR SWIFT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite ANOTHER WORLD finished 4th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SOUTH STAR—2. JUNEAU PRIDE+0.5L3. STELLAR SWIFT+1.25L4. ANOTHER WORLD+1.25L5. SUGAR BALL+2.25L6. TARGET AUDIENCE+3.5L7. BEAUTY CRESCENT+4L8. MEGA FORCE+4.25L9. CALL ME GORGEOUS+5L10. RAGGA BOMB+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ANOTHER WORLD (28.9%) finished 4th — the winner SOUTH STAR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 ANOTHER WORLD 28.9% 3.46 4
2 1 JUNEAU PRIDE 20.8% 4.81 2
3 11 SOUTH STAR 18.6% 5.37 1
4 7 STELLAR SWIFT 11.2% 8.89 3
5 10 NEW FOREST 5.1% 19.51 13
6 13 SUGAR BALL 3.7% 26.92 5
7 4 BEAUTY CRESCENT 3.1% 32.25 7
8 8 TARGET AUDIENCE 2.2% 45.36 6
9 12 CALL ME GORGEOUS 2.0% 50.03 9
10 3 ABSOLUTE HONOUR 2.0% 51.10 12
11 9 BRIGHT DAY 1.3% 79.53 11
12 5 MEGA FORCE 0.7% 142.74 8
13 6 RAGGA BOMB 0.4% 270.86 10
ANOTHER WORLDJUNEAU PRIDESOUTH STAR — wonSTELLAR SWIFTNEW FORESTSUGAR BALLBEAUTY CRESCENTTARGET AUDIENCECALL ME GORGEOUSABSOLUTE HONOURBRIGHT DAYMEGA FORCERAGGA BOMB

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 28.5

PLACE

1 20

7 32.5

11 11

QUINELLA

1,11 93

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 105.5

1,11 34

7,11 53.5

FORECAST

11,1 175

TIERCE

11,1,7 967

TRIO

1,7,11 301

FIRST 4

1,2,7,11 99

QUARTET

11,1,7,2 2,537

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

3/10/1 702

3/10/11 2,716

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,8,10/1,7,11 29,471

9TH DOUBLE

10/1 130

10/11 442

SIX UP

1/10/4/3/10/11 136,608

1,11/8,10/4,6/1,3/8,10/1,11 2,288

1 [Z Purton] —

1 [J Size], 2 [F C Lor] —