Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 09:55
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 3 over 1400m. SOUTH STAR, ridden by A Atzeni and trained by F C Lor, won by 1/2, with JUNEAU PRIDE second and STELLAR SWIFT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite ANOTHER WORLD finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | SOUTH STAR Closed strongly TT 1.20.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 4 | 2.8 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 10 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | STELLAR SWIFT Closed strongly B/TT H Bentley · D A Hayes | H Bentley | D A Hayes | 1 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | ANOTHER WORLD Closed strongly CP Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 7 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | SUGAR BALL TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 3 | 44.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | TARGET AUDIENCE Closed strongly A Badel · C Fownes | A Badel | C Fownes | 5 | 50.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT Closed strongly TT J Orman · A S Cruz | J Orman | A S Cruz | 9 | 24.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | MEGA FORCE Closed strongly H- K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 13 | 157.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | CALL ME GORGEOUS M Chadwick · K W Lui | M Chadwick | K W Lui | 12 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | RAGGA BOMB Closed strongly XB A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 11 | 186.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | BRIGHT DAY CP/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 6 | 111.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 3 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 63.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 10 | NEW FOREST Led early TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 8 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ANOTHER WORLD | 28.9% | 3.46 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 20.8% | 4.81 | 2 |
| 3 | 11 | SOUTH STAR | 18.6% | 5.37 | 1 |
| 4 | 7 | STELLAR SWIFT | 11.2% | 8.89 | 3 |
| 5 | 10 | NEW FOREST | 5.1% | 19.51 | 13 |
| 6 | 13 | SUGAR BALL | 3.7% | 26.92 | 5 |
| 7 | 4 | BEAUTY CRESCENT | 3.1% | 32.25 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | TARGET AUDIENCE | 2.2% | 45.36 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | CALL ME GORGEOUS | 2.0% | 50.03 | 9 |
| 10 | 3 | ABSOLUTE HONOUR | 2.0% | 51.10 | 12 |
| 11 | 9 | BRIGHT DAY | 1.3% | 79.53 | 11 |
| 12 | 5 | MEGA FORCE | 0.7% | 142.74 | 8 |
| 13 | 6 | RAGGA BOMB | 0.4% | 270.86 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 28.5
PLACE
1 20
7 32.5
11 11
QUINELLA
1,11 93
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 105.5
1,11 34
7,11 53.5
FORECAST
11,1 175
TIERCE
11,1,7 967
TRIO
1,7,11 301
FIRST 4
1,2,7,11 99
QUARTET
11,1,7,2 2,537
All pools (4 more)
2ND TREBLE
3/10/1 702
3/10/11 2,716
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,10/1,7,11 29,471
9TH DOUBLE
10/1 130
10/11 442
SIX UP
1/10/4/3/10/11 136,608
1,11/8,10/4,6/1,3/8,10/1,11 2,288
1 [Z Purton] —
1 [J Size], 2 [F C Lor] —