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Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 12:46

Race 1

Class 5 1650m 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.39.62
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 MEEPMEEP Closed strongly E/PC/TT 1.39.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 7 2.7 N
2 10 FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes 8 18.0 N
3 8 TATTENHAM H-/TT- A Hamelin · T P Yung 12 37.0 2
4 12 SO AWESOME Led early B/TT A Badel · K L Man 2 4.8 2-1/2
5 13 HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu 11 68.0 2-3/4
6 14 YEABOI Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip 10 8.4 3
7 7 SUPER TREASURE B E C W Wong · K H Ting 3 73.0 3-3/4
8 9 TRADITION Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui 13 10.0 6-1/2
9 5 COLOURFUL BARON B/TT2 J Orman · D J Whyte 6 22.0 9
10 4 THE PRIME Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · J Richards 14 102.0 9-1/2
11 11 SILVER DESTINY XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor 4 7.9 9-1/2
12 6 PERFECT PEACH B-/P2 A Atzeni · C W Chang 1 16.0 17-1/4
13 3 EN PERFECTO CP-/B1/TT P N Wong · C S Shum 5 23.0 23
14 1 DECRELOT TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes 9 28.0 47

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 5 over 1650m. MEEPMEEP, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with FAMILY FORTUNE second and TATTENHAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MEEPMEEP—2. FAMILY FORTUNE+0.05L3. TATTENHAM+2L4. SO AWESOME+2.5L5. HARRY'S HERO+2.75L6. YEABOI+3L7. SUPER TREASURE+3.75L8. TRADITION+6.5L9. COLOURFUL BARON+9L10. THE PRIME+9.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MEEPMEEP (23.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 MEEPMEEP 23.6% 4.24 1
2 14 YEABOI 12.3% 8.15 6
3 12 SO AWESOME 10.1% 9.91 4
4 10 FAMILY FORTUNE 10.0% 9.99 2
5 9 TRADITION 9.9% 10.10 8
6 6 PERFECT PEACH 7.0% 14.30 12
7 3 EN PERFECTO 5.5% 18.17 13
8 5 COLOURFUL BARON 5.2% 19.39 9
9 11 SILVER DESTINY 4.6% 21.53 11
10 8 TATTENHAM 3.4% 29.22 3
11 13 HARRY'S HERO 2.7% 36.71 5
12 4 THE PRIME 2.6% 38.71 10
13 1 DECRELOT 1.6% 63.33 14
14 7 SUPER TREASURE 1.5% 64.82 7
MEEPMEEP — wonYEABOISO AWESOMEFAMILY FORTUNETRADITIONPERFECT PEACHEN PERFECTOCOLOURFUL BARONSILVER DESTINYTATTENHAMHARRY'S HEROTHE PRIMEDECRELOTSUPER TREASURE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 27.5

PLACE

2 12

8 104

10 45

QUINELLA

2,10 215.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 191

2,10 82.5

8,10 789

FORECAST

2,10 337

TIERCE

2,10,8 9,057

TRIO

2,8,10 2,627

FIRST 4

2,8,10,12 2,667

QUARTET

2,10,8,12 46,247