Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 06:45
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 5 over 1650m. MEEPMEEP, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by N, with FAMILY FORTUNE second and TATTENHAM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MEEPMEEP Closed strongly E/PC/TT 1.39.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.7 | N |
| 2 | 10 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 18.0 | N |
| 3 | 8 | TATTENHAM H-/TT- A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 12 | 37.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 12 | SO AWESOME Led early B/TT A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | 2 | 4.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | HARRY'S HERO Closed strongly K De Melo · P F Yiu | K De Melo | P F Yiu | 11 | 68.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | YEABOI Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 10 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 7 | 7 | SUPER TREASURE B E C W Wong · K H Ting | E C W Wong | K H Ting | 3 | 73.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TRADITION Closed strongly B K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 13 | 10.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON B/TT2 J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 6 | 22.0 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | THE PRIME Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 14 | 102.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | SILVER DESTINY XB/TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 7.9 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | PERFECT PEACH B-/P2 A Atzeni · C W Chang | A Atzeni | C W Chang | 1 | 16.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | EN PERFECTO CP-/B1/TT P N Wong · C S Shum | P N Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 23.0 | 23 |
| 14 | 1 | DECRELOT TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 28.0 | 47 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MEEPMEEP | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 14 | YEABOI | 12.3% | 8.15 | 6 |
| 3 | 12 | SO AWESOME | 10.1% | 9.91 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 10.0% | 9.99 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | TRADITION | 9.9% | 10.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 6 | PERFECT PEACH | 7.0% | 14.30 | 12 |
| 7 | 3 | EN PERFECTO | 5.5% | 18.17 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | COLOURFUL BARON | 5.2% | 19.39 | 9 |
| 9 | 11 | SILVER DESTINY | 4.6% | 21.53 | 11 |
| 10 | 8 | TATTENHAM | 3.4% | 29.22 | 3 |
| 11 | 13 | HARRY'S HERO | 2.7% | 36.71 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | THE PRIME | 2.6% | 38.71 | 10 |
| 13 | 1 | DECRELOT | 1.6% | 63.33 | 14 |
| 14 | 7 | SUPER TREASURE | 1.5% | 64.82 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 27.5
PLACE
2 12
8 104
10 45
QUINELLA
2,10 215.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 191
2,10 82.5
8,10 789
FORECAST
2,10 337
TIERCE
2,10,8 9,057
TRIO
2,8,10 2,627
FIRST 4
2,8,10,12 2,667
QUARTET
2,10,8,12 46,247