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Sha Tin · 2025-04-20 · 14:18

Race 4

Class 4 1600m Course C+3 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.28
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 BRIGHT INHERITANCE Closed strongly B/SR1/TT- 1.33.28 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · C H Yip 2 10.0 1
2 14 HAPPY UNIVERSE Closed strongly P H Bentley · K H Ting 1 9.5 1
3 1 ETALON OR Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu 13 4.0 1-3/4
4 12 DOUBLE WIN Closed strongly XB/B1/TT M Chadwick · T P Yung 6 17.0 2
5 4 MISTER DAPPER B/XB/TT B Avdulla · D Eustace 14 4.3 2-1/2
6 8 FORTUNE BOY Closed strongly CP1 K Teetan · D A Hayes 9 5.0 3-1/2
7 10 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui 7 25.0 6-1/2
8 7 SILVER UP B/TT- A Atzeni · C W Chang 11 39.0 6-1/2
9 2 BEAUTY LIVE V2/TT Y L Chung · F C Lor 8 25.0 8
10 13 DRAGON SUNRISE L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 37.0 9-3/4
11 11 GALE SAGA Closed strongly B/TT1 J Orman · P C Ng 12 39.0 10-1/2
12 5 BLUE BARON XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 5 24.0 12-1/2
13 3 HE WAS ME Led early V/TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 4 65.0 17
14 9 RAGING RAPIDS TT B Thompson · J Size 10 18.0 20-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-04-20 was Class 4 over 1600m. BRIGHT INHERITANCE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by C H Yip, won by 1, with HAPPY UNIVERSE second and ETALON OR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite ETALON OR finished 3rd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BRIGHT INHERITANCE—2. HAPPY UNIVERSE+1L3. ETALON OR+1.75L4. DOUBLE WIN+2L5. MISTER DAPPER+2.5L6. FORTUNE BOY+3.5L7. THE AUSPICIOUS+6.5L8. SILVER UP+6.5L9. BEAUTY LIVE+8L10. DRAGON SUNRISE+9.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ETALON OR (17.2%) finished 3rd — the winner BRIGHT INHERITANCE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ETALON OR 17.2% 5.80 3
2 14 HAPPY UNIVERSE 16.2% 6.17 2
3 8 FORTUNE BOY 9.6% 10.40 6
4 4 MISTER DAPPER 9.4% 10.60 5
5 9 RAGING RAPIDS 8.3% 12.05 14
6 6 BRIGHT INHERITANCE 8.2% 12.14 1
7 5 BLUE BARON 6.4% 15.50 12
8 3 HE WAS ME 5.3% 19.00 13
9 2 BEAUTY LIVE 4.0% 24.97 9
10 11 GALE SAGA 3.7% 26.72 11
11 7 SILVER UP 3.2% 30.82 8
12 10 THE AUSPICIOUS 3.2% 31.28 7
13 12 DOUBLE WIN 2.9% 34.57 4
14 13 DRAGON SUNRISE 2.2% 45.99 10
ETALON ORHAPPY UNIVERSEFORTUNE BOYMISTER DAPPERRAGING RAPIDSBRIGHT INHERITANCE — wonBLUE BARONHE WAS MEBEAUTY LIVEGALE SAGASILVER UPTHE AUSPICIOUSDOUBLE WINDRAGON SUNRISE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 103.5

PLACE

1 16.5

6 29.5

14 28.5

QUINELLA

6,14 444.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 81

1,14 83.5

6,14 123

FORECAST

6,14 909

TIERCE

6,14,1 4,218

TRIO

1,6,14 645

FIRST 4

1,6,12,14 2,662

QUARTET

6,14,1,12 72,994

All pools (2 more)

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,8,11/1,6,14 29,754

3RD DOUBLE

1/6 479.5

1/14 42