沙田 · 2025-04-20 · 08:45
第 8場
2025-04-20沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、J Size訓練的MUST GO勝出，贏出SH。GUMMY GUMMY獲得亞軍；DRAGON AIR FORCE獲得季軍。頭馬以3.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MUST GO E/PC/TT 1.08.54 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 4 | 3.5 | SH |
| 2 | 1 | GUMMY GUMMY B Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 8 | 6.9 | SH |
| 3 | 6 | DRAGON AIR FORCE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 11 | 7.5 | SH |
| 4 | 12 | MR ENERGIA B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT CP/XB K Teetan · M Newnham | K Teetan | M Newnham | 3 | 5.8 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | MASK RIDER TT P N Wong · W Y So | P N Wong | W Y So | 9 | 7.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 10 | GALAXY WITNESS B/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 1 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 5 | MASTER CHAMPION TT1 H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 7 | 23.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 39.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | G LINER H/P/XB/TT Y L Chung · J Richards | Y L Chung | J Richards | 6 | 71.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 8 | GENIUS BABY K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 10 | 125.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 7 | GAZELEY L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 12 | 73.0 | 13-1/2 |
| — | 0 | VICTORY MOMENTS E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | MR ENERGIA | 16.1% | 6.22 | 4 |
| 2 | 10 | GALAXY WITNESS | 15.6% | 6.43 | 7 |
| 3 | 1 | GUMMY GUMMY | 14.2% | 7.05 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | MUST GO | 12.9% | 7.75 | 1 |
| 5 | 6 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 10.7% | 9.36 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | MASK RIDER | 9.0% | 11.16 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | MOJAVE DESERT | 5.2% | 19.09 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | SUPER FORTUNE | 4.8% | 20.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | GAZELEY | 4.2% | 23.96 | 12 |
| 10 | 5 | MASTER CHAMPION | 3.6% | 28.15 | 8 |
| 11 | 11 | G LINER | 3.3% | 30.30 | 10 |
| 12 | 8 | GENIUS BABY | 0.6% | 173.67 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 35
PLACE
1 25
3 17
6 20.5
QUINELLA
1,3 108
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 43
1,6 65
3,6 46.5
FORECAST
3,1 174
TIERCE
3,1,6 484
TRIO
1,3,6 97
FIRST 4
1,3,6,12 162
QUARTET
3,1,6,12 2,038
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,6/1,3,6 2,061
7TH DOUBLE
4/1 40.5
4/3 146.5