沙田 · 2025-05-04 · 05:35
第 3場
2025-05-04沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米。由A Atzeni策騎、J Richards訓練的LUCKY SYMPHONY勝出，贏出1-3/4。TRULY FLUKE獲得亞軍；CLUB ACE獲得季軍。5.0倍大熱門BETTER AND BETTER跑獲第8名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | LUCKY SYMPHONY H/P/TT 1.09.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Atzeni · J Richards | A Atzeni | J Richards | 14 | 5.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | TRULY FLUKE XB H Bowman · D Eustace | H Bowman | D Eustace | 1 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 12 | CLUB ACE TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | CALL ME GORGEOUS J Orman · K W Lui | J Orman | K W Lui | 4 | 8.9 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | KA YING WARRIOR XB M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 9 | 6.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 14 | KING OBERON B A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 5 | 7.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | PERFECTDAY K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 34.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 4 | BETTER AND BETTER H1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 5.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | BULL ATTITUDE L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 12 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS SR1 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 3 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK XB/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 9.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | CONCORDE STAR B-/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 7 | 97.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | DASHING DRAGON B E C W Wong · D A Hayes | E C W Wong | D A Hayes | 13 | 51.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 2 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 10 | 94.0 | 11-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BETTER AND BETTER | 43.2% | 2.31 | 8 |
| 2 | 7 | LUCKY SYMPHONY | 9.3% | 10.78 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | KA YING WARRIOR | 9.0% | 11.13 | 5 |
| 4 | 14 | KING OBERON | 6.7% | 14.96 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | CLUB ACE | 6.6% | 15.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 1 | CALL ME GORGEOUS | 5.4% | 18.55 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | TRULY FLUKE | 4.7% | 21.33 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | GOLDEN LUCK | 3.7% | 27.13 | 11 |
| 9 | 5 | BULL ATTITUDE | 2.9% | 34.12 | 9 |
| 10 | 8 | PERFECTDAY | 2.0% | 48.96 | 7 |
| 11 | 2 | YIU CHEUNG VICTORY | 1.9% | 52.97 | 14 |
| 12 | 9 | TEAM TEAM FOLKS | 1.8% | 54.53 | 10 |
| 13 | 13 | CONCORDE STAR | 1.4% | 69.51 | 12 |
| 14 | 3 | DASHING DRAGON | 1.3% | 79.22 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 54.5
PLACE
7 19
10 39.5
12 34
QUINELLA
7,10 306.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,10 112
7,12 111
10,12 202
FORECAST
7,10 658
TIERCE
7,10,12 6,185
TRIO
7,10,12 1,455
FIRST 4
1,7,10,12 2,340
QUARTET
7,10,12,1 50,852
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,5,9/7,10,12 231,644
2ND DOUBLE
4/7 768.5
4/10 386