沙田 · 2025-05-04 · 07:40
第 7場
2025-05-04沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1400米。由M F Poon策騎、W K Mo訓練的KA YING SUPERB勝出，贏出HD。SHAMUS STORM獲得亞軍；COLOURFUL WINNER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.3倍大熱門SHAMUS STORM跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | KA YING SUPERB 後段發力 H/XB 1.21.74 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 1 | 10.0 | HD |
| 2 | 6 | SHAMUS STORM 後段發力 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 2.3 | HD |
| 3 | 12 | COLOURFUL WINNER 早段領放 CP- M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 2 | 9.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 13 | ONLY U 後段發力 CP/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 10 | 21.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 5 | 8.4 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | MR COOL 後段發力 TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 13 | 4.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 1 | REZEKI CP H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 3 | 22.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SIGHT DREAMER TT J Orman · J Size | J Orman | J Size | 14 | 16.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | GOR GOR 後段發力 TT1 B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 8 | 125.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | HE WAS ME V-/B2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 7 | 124.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | CELESTIAL PATCH XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 6 | 68.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng | E C W Wong | P C Ng | 12 | 49.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | AUTUMN DELIGHT TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 11 | 44.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 14 | 4 | C YEAH B K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 157.0 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SHAMUS STORM | 26.9% | 3.71 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | MR COOL | 17.5% | 5.70 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | KA YING SUPERB | 10.6% | 9.46 | 1 |
| 4 | 14 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 8.5% | 11.75 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | REZEKI | 5.6% | 17.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 12 | COLOURFUL WINNER | 5.2% | 19.33 | 3 |
| 7 | 10 | SIGHT DREAMER | 4.6% | 21.74 | 8 |
| 8 | 13 | ONLY U | 4.6% | 21.76 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | ACROSS DA UNIVERSE | 4.1% | 24.27 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 3.8% | 26.06 | 11 |
| 11 | 9 | HE WAS ME | 2.9% | 34.81 | 10 |
| 12 | 11 | AUTUMN DELIGHT | 2.4% | 41.16 | 13 |
| 13 | 7 | GOR GOR | 2.1% | 47.92 | 9 |
| 14 | 4 | C YEAH | 1.1% | 88.92 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 102
PLACE
5 29.5
6 12
12 25.5
QUINELLA
5,6 115
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 44.5
5,12 140.5
6,12 45
FORECAST
5,6 360
TIERCE
5,6,12 2,420
TRIO
5,6,12 362
FIRST 4
5,6,12,13 1,008
QUARTET
5,6,12,13 24,264
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,12/5,6,12 62,656
6TH DOUBLE
9/5 1,532
9/6 71.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,6/7,9,12/5,6,12 1,316,050
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,6/7,9,12/Any Combination 3,686