沙田 · 2025-05-04 · 05:05
第 2場
2025-05-04沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1200米。由P N Wong策騎、K L Man訓練的CIRCUIT VICTORY勝出，贏出1-1/4。EVER SMART獲得亞軍；FLYING ROMANTIC獲得季軍。3.6倍大熱門EVER SMART跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | CIRCUIT VICTORY B1/TT 1.09.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 12 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 9 | EVER SMART TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 1 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 5 | FLYING ROMANTIC B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 11 | SPEEDY SMARTIE CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 8.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | HO HO STAR H K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 6 | 26.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 13 | WIND SPEEDER B M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 10 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE SB/TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 7 | 8.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | STERLING WONGCHOY B/XB J Orman · D J Whyte | J Orman | D J Whyte | 14 | 43.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 49.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 12 | FLYING PHANTOM A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 5 | 10.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | LUCKY MAN BO/H B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 11 | 8.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SUPER EAGLE TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 7.6 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | TOGEPI B/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 2 | 20.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | FUNG B/TT E C W Wong · C W Chang | E C W Wong | C W Chang | 9 | 82.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FAIRY HORSE | 13.8% | 7.23 | 7 |
| 2 | 1 | LUCKY MAN | 13.4% | 7.44 | 11 |
| 3 | 9 | EVER SMART | 13.2% | 7.57 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | SUPER EAGLE | 13.1% | 7.62 | 12 |
| 5 | 12 | FLYING PHANTOM | 7.3% | 13.76 | 10 |
| 6 | 13 | WIND SPEEDER | 6.8% | 14.81 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | TOGEPI | 5.8% | 17.18 | 13 |
| 8 | 5 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 5.4% | 18.40 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | CIRCUIT VICTORY | 4.9% | 20.25 | 1 |
| 10 | 11 | SPEEDY SMARTIE | 3.6% | 27.47 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | HO HO STAR | 3.6% | 27.83 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | FUNG | 3.4% | 29.29 | 14 |
| 13 | 8 | STERLING WONGCHOY | 3.3% | 29.99 | 8 |
| 14 | 14 | CALIFORNIA ICON | 2.2% | 45.08 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 137
PLACE
4 54.5
5 32.5
9 14
QUINELLA
4,9 381
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 368
4,9 132.5
5,9 113.5
FORECAST
4,9 858
TIERCE
4,9,5 9,521
TRIO
4,5,9 1,673
FIRST 4
4,5,9,11 4,369
QUARTET
4,9,5,11 112,113
全部彩池（另 1 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1,4/4 204
1,4/9 12.5