沙田 · 2025-05-04 · 07:05
第 6場
2025-05-04沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米。由B Avdulla策騎、D A Hayes訓練的FORTUNE BOY勝出，贏出1/2。WROTE A NEW PAGE獲得亞軍；SPECIAL HEDGE獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.4倍大熱門ETALON OR跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FORTUNE BOY 後段發力 CP 1.34.83 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D A Hayes | B Avdulla | D A Hayes | 13 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 7 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE 後段發力 V/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 1 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | CARRYON SMILING 後段發力 CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 2 | 24.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 4 | TIMES TABLE 後段發力 CP J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 14 | 61.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | ETALON OR 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 11 | 3.4 | 4 |
| 7 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE 早段領放 CP/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 4 | 9.5 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY TT K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 3 | 28.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 8 | HAPPY UNIVERSE P M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 5 | 5.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | POCHETTINO H/TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 8 | 21.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | GALLANT EPOCH B/TT H Bowman · K W Lui | H Bowman | K W Lui | 12 | 7.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | MUSANG KING B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 6 | 81.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | CELTIC TIMES V/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 10 | 113.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | BEAU CADEAU B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 9 | 174.0 | 15-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ETALON OR | 17.5% | 5.70 | 6 |
| 2 | 8 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 14.7% | 6.82 | 9 |
| 3 | 12 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 11.6% | 8.65 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | GALLANT EPOCH | 11.4% | 8.74 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | FORTUNE BOY | 9.4% | 10.61 | 1 |
| 6 | 11 | YODA'S CHOICE | 9.2% | 10.88 | 7 |
| 7 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 7.2% | 13.88 | 2 |
| 8 | 6 | CARRYON SMILING | 4.8% | 20.76 | 4 |
| 9 | 14 | POCHETTINO | 3.1% | 32.60 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | MUSANG KING | 3.0% | 33.06 | 12 |
| 11 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY | 2.6% | 38.31 | 8 |
| 12 | 4 | TIMES TABLE | 2.5% | 39.68 | 5 |
| 13 | 13 | CELTIC TIMES | 1.8% | 54.41 | 13 |
| 14 | 5 | BEAU CADEAU | 1.1% | 89.20 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 107
PLACE
7 41.5
9 32
12 23
QUINELLA
7,9 634
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 206.5
7,12 154
9,12 144
FORECAST
9,7 1,428
TIERCE
9,7,12 13,261
TRIO
7,9,12 1,925
FIRST 4
6,7,9,12 8,083
QUARTET
9,7,12,6 253,859
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
2/7 21.5
2/9 218.5