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Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 15:36

Race 7

Class 4 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly H/XB 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W K Mo 1 10.0 HD
2 6 SHAMUS STORM Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 4 2.3 HD
3 12 COLOURFUL WINNER Led early CP- M L Yeung · W Y So 2 9.1 2-1/2
4 13 ONLY U Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung 10 21.0 2-3/4
5 14 CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 5 8.4 3
6 3 MR COOL Closed strongly TT K Teetan · F C Lor 13 4.6 3-1/2
7 1 REZEKI CP H Bowman · D J Hall 3 22.0 4-1/4
8 10 SIGHT DREAMER TT J Orman · J Size 14 16.0 4-3/4
9 7 GOR GOR Closed strongly TT1 B Thompson · J Richards 8 125.0 5-1/2
10 9 HE WAS ME V-/B2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 124.0 6
11 8 CELESTIAL PATCH XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 6 68.0 6-3/4
12 2 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 12 49.0 6-3/4
13 11 AUTUMN DELIGHT TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 11 44.0 8-1/4
14 4 C YEAH B K C Leung · K H Ting 9 157.0 9-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. KA YING SUPERB, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W K Mo, won by HD, with SHAMUS STORM second and COLOURFUL WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SHAMUS STORM finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING SUPERB—2. SHAMUS STORM+0.2L3. COLOURFUL WINNER+2.5L4. ONLY U+2.75L5. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+3L6. MR COOL+3.5L7. REZEKI+4.25L8. SIGHT DREAMER+4.75L9. GOR GOR+5.5L10. HE WAS ME+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SHAMUS STORM (26.9%) finished 2nd — the winner KA YING SUPERB was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SHAMUS STORM 26.9% 3.71 2
2 3 MR COOL 17.5% 5.70 6
3 5 KA YING SUPERB 10.6% 9.46 1
4 14 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 8.5% 11.75 5
5 1 REZEKI 5.6% 17.87 7
6 12 COLOURFUL WINNER 5.2% 19.33 3
7 10 SIGHT DREAMER 4.6% 21.74 8
8 13 ONLY U 4.6% 21.76 4
9 2 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 4.1% 24.27 12
10 8 CELESTIAL PATCH 3.8% 26.06 11
11 9 HE WAS ME 2.9% 34.81 10
12 11 AUTUMN DELIGHT 2.4% 41.16 13
13 7 GOR GOR 2.1% 47.92 9
14 4 C YEAH 1.1% 88.92 14
SHAMUS STORMMR COOLKA YING SUPERB — wonCIRCUIT MIGHTYREZEKICOLOURFUL WINNERSIGHT DREAMERONLY UACROSS DA UNIVERSECELESTIAL PATCHHE WAS MEAUTUMN DELIGHTGOR GORC YEAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 102

PLACE

5 29.5

6 12

12 25.5

QUINELLA

5,6 115

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 44.5

5,12 140.5

6,12 45

FORECAST

5,6 360

TIERCE

5,6,12 2,420

TRIO

5,6,12 362

FIRST 4

5,6,12,13 1,008

QUARTET

5,6,12,13 24,264

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

7,9,12/5,6,12 62,656

6TH DOUBLE

9/5 1,532

9/6 71.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,6/7,9,12/5,6,12 1,316,050

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,6/7,9,12/Any Combination 3,686