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Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 07:40

Race 7

Class 4 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. KA YING SUPERB, ridden by M F Poon and trained by W K Mo, won by HD, with SHAMUS STORM second and COLOURFUL WINNER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite SHAMUS STORM finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.74
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 KA YING SUPERB Closed strongly H/XB 1.21.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · W K Mo 1 10.0 HD
2 6 SHAMUS STORM Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes 4 2.3 HD
3 12 COLOURFUL WINNER Led early CP- M L Yeung · W Y So 2 9.1 2-1/2
4 13 ONLY U Closed strongly CP/TT A Hamelin · T P Yung 10 21.0 2-3/4
5 14 CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT P N Wong · K L Man 5 8.4 3
6 3 MR COOL Closed strongly TT K Teetan · F C Lor 13 4.6 3-1/2
7 1 REZEKI CP H Bowman · D J Hall 3 22.0 4-1/4
8 10 SIGHT DREAMER TT J Orman · J Size 14 16.0 4-3/4
9 7 GOR GOR Closed strongly TT1 B Thompson · J Richards 8 125.0 5-1/2
10 9 HE WAS ME V-/B2/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 124.0 6
11 8 CELESTIAL PATCH XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 6 68.0 6-3/4
12 2 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE XB/TT E C W Wong · P C Ng 12 49.0 6-3/4
13 11 AUTUMN DELIGHT TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 11 44.0 8-1/4
14 4 C YEAH B K C Leung · K H Ting 9 157.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. KA YING SUPERB2. SHAMUS STORM+0.2L3. COLOURFUL WINNER+2.5L4. ONLY U+2.75L5. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+3L6. MR COOL+3.5L7. REZEKI+4.25L8. SIGHT DREAMER+4.75L9. GOR GOR+5.5L10. HE WAS ME+6L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SHAMUS STORM (26.9%) finished 2nd — the winner KA YING SUPERB was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SHAMUS STORM 26.9% 3.71 2
2 3 MR COOL 17.5% 5.70 6
3 5 KA YING SUPERB 10.6% 9.46 1
4 14 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 8.5% 11.75 5
5 1 REZEKI 5.6% 17.87 7
6 12 COLOURFUL WINNER 5.2% 19.33 3
7 10 SIGHT DREAMER 4.6% 21.74 8
8 13 ONLY U 4.6% 21.76 4
9 2 ACROSS DA UNIVERSE 4.1% 24.27 12
10 8 CELESTIAL PATCH 3.8% 26.06 11
11 9 HE WAS ME 2.9% 34.81 10
12 11 AUTUMN DELIGHT 2.4% 41.16 13
13 7 GOR GOR 2.1% 47.92 9
14 4 C YEAH 1.1% 88.92 14
SHAMUS STORMMR COOLKA YING SUPERB — wonCIRCUIT MIGHTYREZEKICOLOURFUL WINNERSIGHT DREAMERONLY UACROSS DA UNIVERSECELESTIAL PATCHHE WAS MEAUTUMN DELIGHTGOR GORC YEAH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 102

PLACE

5 29.5

6 12

12 25.5

QUINELLA

5,6 115

QUINELLA PLACE

5,6 44.5

5,12 140.5

6,12 45

FORECAST

5,6 360

TIERCE

5,6,12 2,420

TRIO

5,6,12 362

FIRST 4

5,6,12,13 1,008

QUARTET

5,6,12,13 24,264

All pools (4 more)

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

7,9,12/5,6,12 62,656

6TH DOUBLE

9/5 1,532

9/6 71.5

TRIPLE TRIO

2,3,6/7,9,12/5,6,12 1,316,050

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,3,6/7,9,12/Any Combination 3,686