Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 09:20
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 3 over 2000m. LIVEANDLETLIVE, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by NOSE, with GOLD MASTER second and WINNING WING third. The winner led throughout. The 3.6 favourite WINNING WING finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | LIVEANDLETLIVE Wire to wire TT 2.02.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.7 | NOSE |
| 2 | 9 | GOLD MASTER Closed strongly B A Atzeni · K L Man | A Atzeni | K L Man | 10 | 4.7 | NOSE |
| 3 | 7 | WINNING WING Closed strongly TT H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 1 | 3.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FAMILY JEWEL Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 4.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | ENTHRALLED Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 15.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | AGENDA Closed strongly CP J Orman · D J Hall | J Orman | D J Hall | 4 | 119.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | MIGHTY STRENGTH B M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 6 | 8.9 | 4-3/4 |
| 8 | 8 | PACKING HURRICANE B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 7 | 40.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 5 | LOVERO Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 79.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PACKING TURBINE TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 9 | 8.1 | 12-1/4 |
| 11 | 1 | SENOR TOBA CP C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 33.0 | 12-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FAMILY JEWEL | 23.3% | 4.28 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | WINNING WING | 19.9% | 5.01 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | GOLD MASTER | 17.1% | 5.84 | 2 |
| 4 | 11 | MIGHTY STRENGTH | 13.8% | 7.24 | 7 |
| 5 | 6 | PACKING TURBINE | 11.9% | 8.39 | 10 |
| 6 | 3 | ENTHRALLED | 3.5% | 28.31 | 5 |
| 7 | 10 | LIVEANDLETLIVE | 2.9% | 34.25 | 1 |
| 8 | 8 | PACKING HURRICANE | 2.7% | 36.47 | 8 |
| 9 | 1 | SENOR TOBA | 2.1% | 48.56 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | LOVERO | 1.8% | 54.47 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | AGENDA | 0.8% | 130.69 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 97.5
PLACE
7 15
9 18
10 28.5
QUINELLA
9,10 303
QUINELLA PLACE
7,9 34.5
7,10 64
9,10 94.5
FORECAST
10,9 610
TIERCE
10,9,7 2,369
TRIO
7,9,10 317
FIRST 4
2,7,9,10 203
QUARTET
10,9,7,2 7,551
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
5/9 15.5
5/10 337.5