Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 06:35
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 3 over 1200m. CROSSBORDERPEGASUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by HD, with SUPER FORTUNE second and KA YING ATTACK third. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS TT 1.08.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 1.5 | HD |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.0 | HD |
| 3 | 6 | KA YING ATTACK B1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 6.1 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | ANOTHER ZONDA B C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 9 | 37.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | KING OF DUBAI TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 2 | 58.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 9 | BALLISTIC WIN A Atzeni · T P Yung | A Atzeni | T P Yung | 4 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | LUCKY TWIN STARS CP1/XB1 K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 7 | 47.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | ANODE TT1 H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 12.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | ALL ROUND WINNER L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 89.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 8 | 139.0 | 9 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | CROSSBORDERPEGASUS | 58.2% | 1.72 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | KA YING ATTACK | 12.0% | 8.36 | 3 |
| 3 | 9 | BALLISTIC WIN | 8.9% | 11.28 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | ANODE | 6.6% | 15.19 | 8 |
| 5 | 7 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 3.7% | 26.96 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | ANOTHER ZONDA | 3.2% | 31.61 | 4 |
| 7 | 8 | KING OF DUBAI | 2.7% | 36.56 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 2.4% | 41.99 | 2 |
| 9 | 4 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 1.9% | 52.22 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | SPEEDY TRIDENT | 0.5% | 215.45 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 15
PLACE
2 10.1
3 22.5
6 15
QUINELLA
2,3 67
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 28.5
2,6 20.5
3,6 53
FORECAST
2,3 87
TIERCE
2,3,6 237
TRIO
2,3,6 80
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 213
QUARTET
2,3,6,5 1,879
All pools (3 more)
1ST TREBLE
7/1,5/2 142
7/1,5/3 450
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,8>1,5/2,3,6 524
4TH DOUBLE
1,5/2 27.5
1,5/3 77.5