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Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 04:35

Race 1

Griffin 1000m Course B 7 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Griffin over 1000m. QUICK MONEY, ridden by C L Chau and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with BABIECA second and MOTOR third. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Result

Official · 0.56.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 QUICK MONEY TT1 0.56.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C L Chau · C H Yip 1 1.3 1/2
2 6 BABIECA CP1/TT K Teetan · C W Chang 4 9.0 1/2
3 3 MOTOR CP1/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 2 58.0 5-1/4
4 2 KIAMA B Avdulla · J Size 7 8.1 6-1/2
5 8 WIN METHOD TT1 H Bentley · C S Shum 5 9.0 7
6 5 SPARKLE AND GOLD M F Poon · C H Yip 8 28.0 7-1/2
7 9 ZHOU GONGJIN B1 A Hamelin · T P Yung 3 20.0 11
1 THE ALL OUT Z Purton · J Richards
7 JUST FOLLOW ME L Ferraris · T P Yung

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. QUICK MONEY2. BABIECA+0.5L3. MOTOR+5.25L4. KIAMA+6.5L5. WIN METHOD+7L6. SPARKLE AND GOLD+7.5L7. ZHOU GONGJIN+11L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick QUICK MONEY (61.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 QUICK MONEY 61.9% 1.62 1
2 6 BABIECA 14.4% 6.95 2
3 8 WIN METHOD 8.5% 11.79 5
4 2 KIAMA 8.3% 12.08 4
5 9 ZHOU GONGJIN 3.3% 30.58 7
6 3 MOTOR 2.3% 43.10 3
7 5 SPARKLE AND GOLD 1.4% 71.97 6
QUICK MONEY — wonBABIECAWIN METHODKIAMAZHOU GONGJINMOTORSPARKLE AND GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 13

PLACE

3 75.5

4 10.1

6 15

QUINELLA

4,6 36

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 109.5

3,6 212.5

4,6 14.5

FORECAST

4,6 37

TIERCE

4,6,3 602

TRIO

3,4,6 277

FIRST 4

2,3,4,6 294

QUARTET

4,6,3,2 2,446