Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 09:55
Race 11
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 3 over 1400m. WINNING OVATION, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with YUEN LONG ELITE second and THE ABSOLUTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite YUEN LONG ELITE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING OVATION Closed strongly TT 1.21.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | YUEN LONG ELITE Led early B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 3 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 10 | 81.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER INFINITY B H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 6 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO CP-/B1 L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS TT1 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 9 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY XB/H1 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 107.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | MR VIGOR Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 254.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | THE BOOM BOX Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 3.5 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | RAGGA BOMB XB A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 145.0 | 19-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE BOOM BOX | 33.5% | 2.98 | 12 |
| 2 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 23.1% | 4.34 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER INFINITY | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | WINNING OVATION | 6.0% | 16.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 3.0% | 33.59 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 2.5% | 39.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | THE ABSOLUTE | 1.8% | 54.24 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 1.5% | 67.02 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | RAGGA BOMB | 1.1% | 89.48 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | POPE CODY | 1.1% | 92.39 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 0.6% | 160.93 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | MR VIGOR | 0.4% | 279.05 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 67.5
PLACE
8 20.5
9 13
13 82.5
QUINELLA
8,9 94.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 35
8,13 290.5
9,13 178
FORECAST
8,9 223
TIERCE
8,9,13 4,486
TRIO
8,9,13 965
FIRST 4
4,8,9,13 21,145
QUARTET
8,9,13,4 255,203
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/8 730.5
10/9 79.5
2ND TREBLE
5/10/8 2,714
5/10/9 273
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/8,9,13 34,480
SIX UP
7,9/5,6/4,5/4,5/9,10/8,9 2,265
9/5/4/5/10/8 1,219,010
2 [A S Cruz] —
1 [Z Purton] —