Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 17:53
Race 11
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | WINNING OVATION Closed strongly TT 1.21.25 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 1 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | YUEN LONG ELITE Led early B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 3.2 | 1 |
| 3 | 13 | THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly CP-/XB/B1/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 3 | 39.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 10 | 81.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER INFINITY B H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 6 | 8.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 13 | 5.1 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO CP-/B1 L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 2 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR XB K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 4 | 45.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS TT1 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 9 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY XB/H1 C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 7 | 107.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | MR VIGOR Closed strongly TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 254.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | THE BOOM BOX Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 3.5 | 16-1/2 |
| 13 | 11 | RAGGA BOMB XB A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 12 | 145.0 | 19-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 3 over 1400m. WINNING OVATION, ridden by A Badel and trained by A S Cruz, won by 1, with YUEN LONG ELITE second and THE ABSOLUTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.2 favourite YUEN LONG ELITE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | THE BOOM BOX | 33.5% | 2.98 | 12 |
| 2 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 23.1% | 4.34 | 6 |
| 3 | 9 | YUEN LONG ELITE | 15.5% | 6.45 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | SUPER INFINITY | 9.9% | 10.07 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | WINNING OVATION | 6.0% | 16.76 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | SAVVY WARRIOR | 3.0% | 33.59 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | NEW FUTURE FOLKS | 2.5% | 39.85 | 9 |
| 8 | 13 | THE ABSOLUTE | 1.8% | 54.24 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | LUPO SOLITARIO | 1.5% | 67.02 | 7 |
| 10 | 11 | RAGGA BOMB | 1.1% | 89.48 | 13 |
| 11 | 4 | POPE CODY | 1.1% | 92.39 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 0.6% | 160.93 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | MR VIGOR | 0.4% | 279.05 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
8 67.5
PLACE
8 20.5
9 13
13 82.5
QUINELLA
8,9 94.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,9 35
8,13 290.5
9,13 178
FORECAST
8,9 223
TIERCE
8,9,13 4,486
TRIO
8,9,13 965
FIRST 4
4,8,9,13 21,145
QUARTET
8,9,13,4 255,203
All pools (4 more)
10TH DOUBLE
10/8 730.5
10/9 79.5
2ND TREBLE
5/10/8 2,714
5/10/9 273
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
7,9,10/8,9,13 34,480
SIX UP
7,9/5,6/4,5/4,5/9,10/8,9 2,265
9/5/4/5/10/8 1,219,010
2 [A S Cruz] —
1 [Z Purton] —