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Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 16:43

Race 9

Class 4 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 2.6 1-1/2
2 4 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · M Newnham 1 4.4 1-1/2
3 14 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V K De Melo · D J Hall 3 9.4 3
4 10 BLING BLING GENIUS A Hamelin · D J Whyte 14 110.0 3-1/4
5 2 WONDERSTAR Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 144.0 3-1/2
6 3 MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly Y L Chung · K W Lui 9 46.0 4-1/4
7 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly H1 B Avdulla · J Size 12 11.0 5
8 11 AMAZING RUN B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 5.3 5-1/4
9 7 LESLIE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang 6 21.0 5-1/2
10 8 HANDSOME BOMB CP/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 4 13.0 5-3/4
11 13 PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 10 24.0 6
12 9 BLUE BARON XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 5 63.0 7
13 6 LUCKY COMBINATION V/XB/TT C L Chau · F C Lor 11 134.0 24
14 12 QUICK QUICK WIN XB-/B1/TT2 E C W Wong · P C Ng 13 229.0 37

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. DAZZLING FIT, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/2, with MAX QUE second and FIGHT TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAZZLING FIT—2. MAX QUE+1.5L3. FIGHT TIME+3L4. BLING BLING GENIUS+3.25L5. WONDERSTAR+3.5L6. MIGHTY STEED+4.25L7. SPIRIT OF PEACE+5L8. AMAZING RUN+5.25L9. LESLIE+5.5L10. HANDSOME BOMB+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MAX QUE (23.1%) finished 2nd — the winner DAZZLING FIT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MAX QUE 23.1% 4.32 2
2 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE 16.0% 6.26 7
3 5 DAZZLING FIT 12.5% 8.02 1
4 11 AMAZING RUN 11.7% 8.57 8
5 13 PEARL OF PANG'S 9.8% 10.21 11
6 8 HANDSOME BOMB 5.1% 19.51 10
7 3 MIGHTY STEED 4.6% 21.64 6
8 7 LESLIE 4.2% 23.88 9
9 14 FIGHT TIME 3.7% 27.28 3
10 9 BLUE BARON 2.8% 35.42 12
11 10 BLING BLING GENIUS 2.4% 40.91 4
12 2 WONDERSTAR 2.0% 50.12 5
13 6 LUCKY COMBINATION 1.4% 72.19 13
14 12 QUICK QUICK WIN 0.7% 141.25 14
MAX QUESPIRIT OF PEACEDAZZLING FIT — wonAMAZING RUNPEARL OF PANG'SHANDSOME BOMBMIGHTY STEEDLESLIEFIGHT TIMEBLUE BARONBLING BLING GENIUSWONDERSTARLUCKY COMBINATIONQUICK QUICK WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 26.5

PLACE

4 17

5 13

14 27.5

QUINELLA

4,5 64

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 27

4,14 67.5

5,14 54.5

FORECAST

5,4 98

TIERCE

5,4,14 654

TRIO

4,5,14 193

FIRST 4

4,5,10,14 3,756

QUARTET

5,4,14,10 25,756

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,5/4,5,14 3,753

8TH DOUBLE

4/4 19.5

4/5 56