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Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 08:45

Race 9

Class 4 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 4 over 1400m. DAZZLING FIT, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/2, with MAX QUE second and FIGHT TIME third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.12
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB 1.21.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace 7 2.6 1-1/2
2 4 MAX QUE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · M Newnham 1 4.4 1-1/2
3 14 FIGHT TIME Closed strongly V K De Melo · D J Hall 3 9.4 3
4 10 BLING BLING GENIUS A Hamelin · D J Whyte 14 110.0 3-1/4
5 2 WONDERSTAR Led early B H T Mo · Y S Tsui 8 144.0 3-1/2
6 3 MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly Y L Chung · K W Lui 9 46.0 4-1/4
7 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly H1 B Avdulla · J Size 12 11.0 5
8 11 AMAZING RUN B/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 2 5.3 5-1/4
9 7 LESLIE Closed strongly B K Teetan · C W Chang 6 21.0 5-1/2
10 8 HANDSOME BOMB CP/TT A Atzeni · W Y So 4 13.0 5-3/4
11 13 PEARL OF PANG'S B/TT M F Poon · K L Man 10 24.0 6
12 9 BLUE BARON XB/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 5 63.0 7
13 6 LUCKY COMBINATION V/XB/TT C L Chau · F C Lor 11 134.0 24
14 12 QUICK QUICK WIN XB-/B1/TT2 E C W Wong · P C Ng 13 229.0 37

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAZZLING FIT2. MAX QUE+1.5L3. FIGHT TIME+3L4. BLING BLING GENIUS+3.25L5. WONDERSTAR+3.5L6. MIGHTY STEED+4.25L7. SPIRIT OF PEACE+5L8. AMAZING RUN+5.25L9. LESLIE+5.5L10. HANDSOME BOMB+5.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MAX QUE (23.1%) finished 2nd — the winner DAZZLING FIT was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MAX QUE 23.1% 4.32 2
2 1 SPIRIT OF PEACE 16.0% 6.26 7
3 5 DAZZLING FIT 12.5% 8.02 1
4 11 AMAZING RUN 11.7% 8.57 8
5 13 PEARL OF PANG'S 9.8% 10.21 11
6 8 HANDSOME BOMB 5.1% 19.51 10
7 3 MIGHTY STEED 4.6% 21.64 6
8 7 LESLIE 4.2% 23.88 9
9 14 FIGHT TIME 3.7% 27.28 3
10 9 BLUE BARON 2.8% 35.42 12
11 10 BLING BLING GENIUS 2.4% 40.91 4
12 2 WONDERSTAR 2.0% 50.12 5
13 6 LUCKY COMBINATION 1.4% 72.19 13
14 12 QUICK QUICK WIN 0.7% 141.25 14
MAX QUESPIRIT OF PEACEDAZZLING FIT — wonAMAZING RUNPEARL OF PANG'SHANDSOME BOMBMIGHTY STEEDLESLIEFIGHT TIMEBLUE BARONBLING BLING GENIUSWONDERSTARLUCKY COMBINATIONQUICK QUICK WIN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 26.5

PLACE

4 17

5 13

14 27.5

QUINELLA

4,5 64

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 27

4,14 67.5

5,14 54.5

FORECAST

5,4 98

TIERCE

5,4,14 654

TRIO

4,5,14 193

FIRST 4

4,5,10,14 3,756

QUARTET

5,4,14,10 25,756

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,4,5/4,5,14 3,753

8TH DOUBLE

4/4 19.5

4/5 56