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Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 06:05

Race 4

Class 2 1600m Course B 7 runners

Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 2 over 1600m. HONG LOK GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with PRAY FOR MIR second and STEPS AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.33.96
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 5 HONG LOK GOLF Closed strongly TT 1.33.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So 5 2.3 1/2
2 8 PRAY FOR MIR Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · W K Mo 4 4.7 1/2
3 4 STEPS AHEAD Led early L Ferraris · K W Lui 7 5.1 3/4
4 3 MICKLEY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Size 6 4.4 3-1/4
5 2 THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz 3 37.0 5-3/4
6 7 FLAMINGO TRILLION CP2 A Badel · F C Lor 1 20.0 8
7 6 SNOWFIELD XB/TT M F Poon · M Newnham 2 13.0 8-1/4
— 1 ENCOUNTERED K C Leung · D J Hall — — —

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HONG LOK GOLF—2. PRAY FOR MIR+0.5L3. STEPS AHEAD+0.75L4. MICKLEY+3.25L5. THE GOLDEN SCENERY+5.75L6. FLAMINGO TRILLION+8L7. SNOWFIELD+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick PRAY FOR MIR (33.7%) finished 2nd — the winner HONG LOK GOLF was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 8 PRAY FOR MIR 33.7% 2.97 2
2 7 FLAMINGO TRILLION 20.8% 4.81 6
3 5 HONG LOK GOLF 18.7% 5.34 1
4 3 MICKLEY 9.7% 10.30 4
5 4 STEPS AHEAD 7.4% 13.56 3
6 6 SNOWFIELD 6.9% 14.48 7
7 2 THE GOLDEN SCENERY 2.8% 35.19 5
PRAY FOR MIRFLAMINGO TRILLIONHONG LOK GOLF — wonMICKLEYSTEPS AHEADSNOWFIELDTHE GOLDEN SCENERY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

5 23.5

PLACE

4 17

5 10.5

8 14.5

QUINELLA

5,8 56

QUINELLA PLACE

4,5 21

4,8 37.5

5,8 22

FORECAST

5,8 89

TIERCE

5,8,4 177

TRIO

4,5,8 56

FIRST 4

3,4,5,8 40

QUARTET

5,8,4,3 462

All pools (1 more)

3RD DOUBLE

7/1,5 124

7/8 49

← Race 3 Race 5 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1600m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99