Sha Tin · 2025-05-04 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HONG LOK GOLF Closed strongly TT 1.33.96 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 5 | 2.3 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | PRAY FOR MIR Closed strongly CP A Atzeni · W K Mo | A Atzeni | W K Mo | 4 | 4.7 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | STEPS AHEAD Led early L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 7 | 5.1 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MICKLEY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 4.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 3 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION CP2 A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 1 | 20.0 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | SNOWFIELD XB/TT M F Poon · M Newnham | M F Poon | M Newnham | 2 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 1 | ENCOUNTERED K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-04 was Class 2 over 1600m. HONG LOK GOLF, ridden by H Bentley and trained by W Y So, won by 1/2, with PRAY FOR MIR second and STEPS AHEAD third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | PRAY FOR MIR | 33.7% | 2.97 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | FLAMINGO TRILLION | 20.8% | 4.81 | 6 |
| 3 | 5 | HONG LOK GOLF | 18.7% | 5.34 | 1 |
| 4 | 3 | MICKLEY | 9.7% | 10.30 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | STEPS AHEAD | 7.4% | 13.56 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | SNOWFIELD | 6.9% | 14.48 | 7 |
| 7 | 2 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 2.8% | 35.19 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 23.5
PLACE
4 17
5 10.5
8 14.5
QUINELLA
5,8 56
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 21
4,8 37.5
5,8 22
FORECAST
5,8 89
TIERCE
5,8,4 177
TRIO
4,5,8 56
FIRST 4
3,4,5,8 40
QUARTET
5,8,4,3 462
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
7/1,5 124
7/8 49