沙田 · 2025-05-10 · 09:50
第 10場
2025-05-10沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米。由M F Poon策騎、C W Chang訓練的LADY'S CHOICE勝出，贏出3/4。BOTTOMUPTOGETHER獲得亞軍；TOMODACHI KOKOROE獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門FAST NETWORK跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE B 1.08.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 4 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 8 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP-/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 9 | 112.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 7 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | FAST NETWORK B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 1 | 2.3 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | DANCING CODE B/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 11 | 42.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 5 | 5.9 | 3 |
| 8 | 3 | WUNDERBAR B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 3 | 4.3 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | WHIZZ KID V/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 12 | 55.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | GORGEOUS WIN TT A Atzeni · C S Shum | A Atzeni | C S Shum | 2 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB K De Melo · D J Hall | K De Melo | D J Hall | 8 | 166.0 | 8-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FAST NETWORK | 27.3% | 3.67 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | INVINCIBLE SHIELD | 17.4% | 5.73 | 7 |
| 3 | 3 | WUNDERBAR | 15.5% | 6.45 | 8 |
| 4 | 2 | BOTTOMUPTOGETHER | 8.1% | 12.35 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | LADY'S CHOICE | 7.9% | 12.62 | 1 |
| 6 | 7 | GUSTOSISIMO | 6.3% | 15.87 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | GORGEOUS WIN | 5.2% | 19.18 | 11 |
| 8 | 10 | DANCING CODE | 3.6% | 27.75 | 6 |
| 9 | 12 | WHIZZ KID | 3.1% | 32.63 | 9 |
| 10 | 6 | CHIU CHOW SPIRIT | 2.9% | 34.76 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | TOMODACHI KOKOROE | 1.9% | 53.81 | 3 |
| 12 | 11 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 0.8% | 121.77 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 141
PLACE
2 33.5
8 226
9 30.5
QUINELLA
2,9 721.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,8 1,635
2,9 174.5
8,9 1,504.5
FORECAST
9,2 1,131
TIERCE
9,2,8 83,436
TRIO
2,8,9 15,094
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 34,848
QUARTET
9,2,8,6 753,733
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND TREBLE
2/1/2 336
2/1/9 2,422
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,9/2,8,9 968,729
9TH DOUBLE
1/2 190
1/9 909.5
SIX UP
1/2/7/2/1/9 60,959
1,3/2,11/7,9/1,2/1,9/2,9 309
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [P F Yiu] —