沙田 · 2025-05-10 · 06:35
第 4場
2025-05-10沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1650米。由E C W Wong策騎、C Fownes訓練的CHARMING STEED勝出，贏出1/2。MEEPMEEP獲得亞軍；PRECISION GOAL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.2倍大熱門FASHION LEGEND跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHARMING STEED 後段發力 TT 1.39.21 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 3 | 11.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | MEEPMEEP 後段發力 E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 14 | 8.8 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | PRECISION GOAL 後段發力 BO/TT P N Wong · D A Hayes | P N Wong | D A Hayes | 13 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 B Thompson · C W Chang | B Thompson | C W Chang | 1 | 8.8 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 2 | 3.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA CHALEUR 後段發力 H/PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 10 | 8.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 13 | LUCKY IMPACT 後段發力 M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 6 | 5.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 3 | WONDERSTAR 早段領放 B C L Chau · Y S Tsui | C L Chau | Y S Tsui | 5 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | FLOOF TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 4 | 24.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 6 | MATTERS MOST CP-/TT L Ferraris · C S Shum | L Ferraris | C S Shum | 7 | 69.0 | 9 |
| 12 | 14 | PHANTOM CYCLONE 後段發力 B/TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 12 | 91.0 | 15-1/4 |
| 13 | 2 | CONSPIRATOR H/P/XB L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 11 | 140.0 | 28-1/2 |
| 14 | 1 | G LINER H/P/XB/TT H Bowman · J Richards | H Bowman | J Richards | 9 | 30.0 | 30 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FASHION LEGEND | 21.1% | 4.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 11 | MEEPMEEP | 12.6% | 7.95 | 2 |
| 3 | 9 | FOREVER FOLKS | 10.7% | 9.36 | 4 |
| 4 | 7 | PRECISION GOAL | 8.1% | 12.42 | 3 |
| 5 | 13 | LUCKY IMPACT | 7.9% | 12.71 | 8 |
| 6 | 10 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 6.6% | 15.09 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA CHALEUR | 5.8% | 17.30 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | G LINER | 5.5% | 18.15 | 14 |
| 9 | 5 | CHARMING STEED | 5.4% | 18.54 | 1 |
| 10 | 4 | FLOOF | 5.0% | 20.14 | 10 |
| 11 | 3 | WONDERSTAR | 4.6% | 21.75 | 9 |
| 12 | 6 | MATTERS MOST | 3.4% | 29.26 | 11 |
| 13 | 14 | PHANTOM CYCLONE | 2.2% | 44.81 | 12 |
| 14 | 2 | CONSPIRATOR | 1.2% | 84.94 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 113
PLACE
5 31.5
7 48
11 37.5
QUINELLA
5,11 649.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 196.5
5,11 197.5
7,11 258
FORECAST
5,11 1,286
TIERCE
5,11,7 12,509
TRIO
5,7,11 2,720
FIRST 4
5,7,9,11 3,790
QUARTET
5,11,7,9 104,429
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,11/5,7,11 54,776
3RD DOUBLE
1/5 300.5
1/11 66