Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 09:50

Race 10

Class 2 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 2 over 1200m. LADY'S CHOICE, ridden by M F Poon and trained by C W Chang, won by 3/4, with BOTTOMUPTOGETHER second and TOMODACHI KOKOROE third. The 2.3 favourite FAST NETWORK finished 5th.

Result

Official · 1.08.44
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 LADY'S CHOICE B 1.08.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M F Poon · C W Chang 4 14.0 3/4
2 2 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER TT Z Purton · F C Lor 6 14.0 3/4
3 8 TOMODACHI KOKOROE CP-/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes 9 112.0 1
4 6 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT B/TT K C Leung · K L Man 7 15.0 1-1/2
5 1 FAST NETWORK B/TT H Bowman · C H Yip 1 2.3 1-1/2
6 10 DANCING CODE B/TT B Thompson · C Fownes 11 42.0 1-1/2
7 5 INVINCIBLE SHIELD L Hewitson · K W Lui 5 5.9 3
8 3 WUNDERBAR B Avdulla · J Size 3 4.3 3-1/4
9 12 WHIZZ KID V/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 12 55.0 4-1/4
10 7 GUSTOSISIMO TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 18.0 4-1/2
11 4 GORGEOUS WIN TT A Atzeni · C S Shum 2 14.0 6
12 11 ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB K De Melo · D J Hall 8 166.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LADY'S CHOICE2. BOTTOMUPTOGETHER+0.75L3. TOMODACHI KOKOROE+1L4. CHIU CHOW SPIRIT+1.5L5. FAST NETWORK+1.5L6. DANCING CODE+1.5L7. INVINCIBLE SHIELD+3L8. WUNDERBAR+3.25L9. WHIZZ KID+4.25L10. GUSTOSISIMO+4.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FAST NETWORK (27.3%) finished 5th — the winner LADY'S CHOICE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 FAST NETWORK 27.3% 3.67 5
2 5 INVINCIBLE SHIELD 17.4% 5.73 7
3 3 WUNDERBAR 15.5% 6.45 8
4 2 BOTTOMUPTOGETHER 8.1% 12.35 2
5 9 LADY'S CHOICE 7.9% 12.62 1
6 7 GUSTOSISIMO 6.3% 15.87 10
7 4 GORGEOUS WIN 5.2% 19.18 11
8 10 DANCING CODE 3.6% 27.75 6
9 12 WHIZZ KID 3.1% 32.63 9
10 6 CHIU CHOW SPIRIT 2.9% 34.76 4
11 8 TOMODACHI KOKOROE 1.9% 53.81 3
12 11 ATULLIBIGEAL 0.8% 121.77 12
FAST NETWORKINVINCIBLE SHIELDWUNDERBARBOTTOMUPTOGETHERLADY'S CHOICE — wonGUSTOSISIMOGORGEOUS WINDANCING CODEWHIZZ KIDCHIU CHOW SPIRITTOMODACHI KOKOROEATULLIBIGEAL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 141

PLACE

2 33.5

8 226

9 30.5

QUINELLA

2,9 721.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,8 1,635

2,9 174.5

8,9 1,504.5

FORECAST

9,2 1,131

TIERCE

9,2,8 83,436

TRIO

2,8,9 15,094

FIRST 4

2,6,8,9 34,848

QUARTET

9,2,8,6 753,733

All pools (4 more)

2ND TREBLE

2/1/2 336

2/1/9 2,422

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

1,6,9/2,8,9 968,729

9TH DOUBLE

1/2 190

1/9 909.5

SIX UP

1/2/7/2/1/9 60,959

1,3/2,11/7,9/1,2/1,9/2,9 309

1 [Z Purton]

3 [P F Yiu]