Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 07:35
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 4 over 1200m. LITTLE PARADISE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K H Ting, won by 1-3/4, with SEA SAPPHIRE second and ENJOY GOLF third. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LITTLE PARADISE TT 1.09.19 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | SEA SAPPHIRE TT B Thompson · D Eustace | B Thompson | D Eustace | 1 | 8.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF V E C W Wong · F C Lor | E C W Wong | F C Lor | 8 | 7.5 | 2 |
| 4 | 6 | LEAN MASTER B/TT M Chadwick · C H Yip | M Chadwick | C H Yip | 5 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | GLACIATED B1 A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 9 | 80.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | MOUNT EVEREST TT M L Yeung · W Y So | M L Yeung | W Y So | 11 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | PEJIBAYE TT B Avdulla · J Richards | B Avdulla | J Richards | 3 | 4.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | FLYING DOUBLE CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 17.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | HAPPY PARK XB Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 6 | 12.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 12 | KING SHOW B J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 4 | 61.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | SAL XB-/TT1 K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 2 | 183.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 9 | RUN RAN RUN B/TT C L Chau · W K Mo | C L Chau | W K Mo | 12 | 143.0 | 63-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LITTLE PARADISE | 27.5% | 3.64 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | ENJOY GOLF | 16.5% | 6.05 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | MOUNT EVEREST | 14.6% | 6.86 | 6 |
| 4 | 11 | SEA SAPPHIRE | 10.6% | 9.40 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | LEAN MASTER | 8.7% | 11.51 | 4 |
| 6 | 10 | FLYING DOUBLE | 5.4% | 18.52 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | PEJIBAYE | 5.2% | 19.17 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | GLACIATED | 3.8% | 26.17 | 5 |
| 9 | 4 | HAPPY PARK | 3.4% | 29.58 | 9 |
| 10 | 9 | RUN RAN RUN | 2.5% | 40.75 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | KING SHOW | 1.2% | 84.19 | 10 |
| 12 | 5 | SAL | 0.6% | 169.41 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26.5
PLACE
1 20.5
2 13
11 27
QUINELLA
2,11 137
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 39.5
1,11 96.5
2,11 55.5
FORECAST
2,11 206
TIERCE
2,11,1 890
TRIO
1,2,11 184
FIRST 4
1,2,6,11 538
QUARTET
2,11,1,6 7,870
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/1,2,11 11,197
5TH DOUBLE
1/2 41.5
1/11 32.5
TRIPLE TRIO
5,7,11/1,3,9/1,2,11 4,571,203
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
5,7,11/1,3,9/Any Combination 16,234