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Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 05:35

Race 2

Class 4 1000m Course C 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 4 over 1000m. MOON ROCKET, ridden by K C Leung and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with ALSONSO second and LAHORE third. The 4.0 favourite ALSONSO finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 0.56.82
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 7 MOON ROCKET TT 0.56.82 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · C S Shum 5 4.7 N
2 1 ALSONSO Z Purton · M Newnham 13 4.0 N
3 6 LAHORE CP/XB/TT B Avdulla · J Richards 11 10.0 N
4 9 STRAIGHT TO GLORY P1 C L Chau · T P Yung 14 22.0 1-1/2
5 11 WINNING DIAMOND B Thompson · C H Yip 12 5.7 1-3/4
6 4 CHEVAL VALIANT B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 6.0 1-3/4
7 13 RIDING HIGH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 10 17.0 3-1/4
8 3 ALLURING LAOS CP-/TT P N Wong · W K Mo 9 15.0 3-3/4
9 12 ISLAND BREEZES B/TT A Atzeni · P C Ng 8 11.0 4-1/4
10 10 SUMMIT CHEERS A Badel · D J Hall 7 37.0 4-3/4
11 5 TURF PHOENIX M L Yeung · W Y So 6 182.0 6
12 14 PRECIOUS HILL TT Y L Chung · K L Man 1 137.0 7-3/4
13 8 SMART ENGINEER A Hamelin · K W Lui 2 87.0 8-3/4
14 2 CALL TO COMMAND H/P/XB/TT M F Poon · C W Chang 3 137.0 8-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MOON ROCKET2. ALSONSO+0.05L3. LAHORE+0.05L4. STRAIGHT TO GLORY+1.5L5. WINNING DIAMOND+1.75L6. CHEVAL VALIANT+1.75L7. RIDING HIGH+3.25L8. ALLURING LAOS+3.75L9. ISLAND BREEZES+4.25L10. SUMMIT CHEERS+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick ALSONSO (21.4%) finished 2nd — the winner MOON ROCKET was rated #4. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 ALSONSO 21.4% 4.67 2
2 12 ISLAND BREEZES 15.8% 6.32 9
3 4 CHEVAL VALIANT 12.2% 8.18 6
4 7 MOON ROCKET 10.8% 9.27 1
5 3 ALLURING LAOS 8.2% 12.26 8
6 6 LAHORE 7.3% 13.71 3
7 13 RIDING HIGH 6.0% 16.71 7
8 11 WINNING DIAMOND 4.7% 21.44 5
9 9 STRAIGHT TO GLORY 4.0% 24.75 4
10 10 SUMMIT CHEERS 3.8% 26.44 10
11 2 CALL TO COMMAND 1.7% 58.38 14
12 14 PRECIOUS HILL 1.7% 59.20 12
13 8 SMART ENGINEER 1.4% 71.80 13
14 5 TURF PHOENIX 1.1% 94.75 11
ALSONSOISLAND BREEZESCHEVAL VALIANTMOON ROCKET — wonALLURING LAOSLAHORERIDING HIGHWINNING DIAMONDSTRAIGHT TO GLORYSUMMIT CHEERSCALL TO COMMANDPRECIOUS HILLSMART ENGINEERTURF PHOENIX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

7 47

PLACE

1 18

6 28

7 18.5

QUINELLA

1,7 110.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 75

1,7 46.5

6,7 74.5

FORECAST

7,1 241

TIERCE

7,1,6 1,200

TRIO

1,6,7 254

FIRST 4

1,6,7,9 998

QUARTET

7,1,6,9 18,021

All pools (2 more)

1ST DOUBLE

3/1 47

3/7 407

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,12/1,6,7 47,981