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Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 09:15

Race 9

Class 3 1200m Course C 12 runners

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 3 over 1200m. CALL ME GLORIOUS, ridden by J Orman and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with AHREN second and RIGHTEOUS ARION third. The 1.9 favourite AHREN finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.09.30
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 CALL ME GLORIOUS B 1.09.30 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Orman · K W Lui 10 10.0 SH
2 9 AHREN A Atzeni · P F Yiu 5 1.9 SH
3 6 RIGHTEOUS ARION TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 1 23.0 1/2
4 3 AERIS NOVA V/XB/TT K C Leung · T P Yung 4 7.2 1
5 2 LIFELINE EXPRESS E H Bowman · J Size 11 6.7 1-1/2
5 4 SUPER LEGENDS B/TT P N Wong · C S Shum 6 16.0 1-1/2
7 12 GENIUS BABY M L Yeung · D A Hayes 3 167.0 2-1/2
8 10 CALIFORNIA BAY TT1 Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 25.0 3
9 5 ONE MORE XB Z Purton · M Newnham 9 18.0 4
10 11 BIG RETURN TT B Thompson · W Y So 7 210.0 4-3/4
11 8 REGAL GEM L Hewitson · F C Lor 8 9.6 6-3/4
12 7 MARVEL AND GOLD H/TT A Hamelin · C H Yip 2 146.0 10

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. CALL ME GLORIOUS2. AHREN+0.1L3. RIGHTEOUS ARION+0.5L4. AERIS NOVA+1L5. LIFELINE EXPRESS+1.5L5. SUPER LEGENDS+1.5L7. GENIUS BABY+2.5L8. CALIFORNIA BAY+3L9. ONE MORE+4L10. BIG RETURN+4.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick AHREN (42.1%) finished 2nd — the winner CALL ME GLORIOUS was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 AHREN 42.1% 2.38 2
2 2 LIFELINE EXPRESS 17.2% 5.82 5
3 3 AERIS NOVA 12.8% 7.81 4
4 4 SUPER LEGENDS 5.2% 19.25 5
5 1 CALL ME GLORIOUS 5.1% 19.45 1
6 6 RIGHTEOUS ARION 5.0% 20.15 3
7 8 REGAL GEM 4.1% 24.67 11
8 5 ONE MORE 4.0% 25.21 9
9 10 CALIFORNIA BAY 2.9% 34.73 8
10 12 GENIUS BABY 0.7% 145.54 7
11 11 BIG RETURN 0.5% 191.89 10
12 7 MARVEL AND GOLD 0.5% 198.44 12
AHRENLIFELINE EXPRESSAERIS NOVASUPER LEGENDSCALL ME GLORIOUS — wonRIGHTEOUS ARIONREGAL GEMONE MORECALIFORNIA BAYGENIUS BABYBIG RETURNMARVEL AND GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 104

PLACE

1 29

6 41.5

9 11

QUINELLA

1,9 106.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,6 182.5

1,9 46

6,9 60.5

FORECAST

1,9 307

TIERCE

1,9,6 3,036

TRIO

1,6,9 426

FIRST 4

1,3,6,9 375

QUARTET

1,9,6,3 14,446

All pools (1 more)

8TH DOUBLE

2/1 186

2/9 10.5