Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | DRAGON AIR FORCE Closed strongly TT 1.38.65 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 9 | CHILL KAKA Closed strongly V Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 5 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | ALLCASH Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 43.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT J Orman · P C Ng | J Orman | P C Ng | 8 | 45.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE Closed strongly V-/SR/B2 B Avdulla · P C Ng | B Avdulla | P C Ng | 3 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM P A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 4 | 28.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | ARIEL Led early B/TT L Ferraris · D A Hayes | L Ferraris | D A Hayes | 10 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 10 | FAST SPEED Closed strongly CP1/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 36.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST V P N Wong · D J Hall | P N Wong | D J Hall | 1 | 16.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 4 | NEVER PETER OUT V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 9 | 9.2 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 3 over 1650m. DRAGON AIR FORCE, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3/4, with CHILL KAKA second and TALENTS AMBITION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite CHILL KAKA finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | CHILL KAKA | 36.7% | 2.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | DRAGON AIR FORCE | 17.3% | 5.79 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | NEVER PETER OUT | 12.3% | 8.10 | 11 |
| 4 | 11 | NORTHERN BEAST | 7.4% | 13.52 | 10 |
| 5 | 1 | TALENTS AMBITION | 6.0% | 16.76 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 5.3% | 18.70 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | ARIEL | 4.1% | 24.34 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | ALLCASH | 3.6% | 27.81 | 4 |
| 9 | 2 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 3.3% | 30.52 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | TURIN MASCOT | 2.7% | 36.49 | 5 |
| 11 | 10 | FAST SPEED | 1.2% | 80.53 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 67.5
PLACE
1 13
7 21.5
9 12.5
QUINELLA
7,9 81.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 38
1,9 22.5
7,9 34.5
FORECAST
7,9 225
TIERCE
7,9,1 711
TRIO
1,7,9 91
FIRST 4
1,7,8,9 684
QUARTET
7,9,1,8 12,844
All pools (1 more)
6TH DOUBLE
2/7 221
2/9 12