Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 16:38
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM Closed strongly XB 1.21.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 3 | 1.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 2 | 5.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 8 | RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 8 | 30.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | ANOTHER WORLD Closed strongly CP H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 4 | 5.9 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 11 | MEOWTH CP-/TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 9 | 24.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 10 | NEW FOREST Led early TT L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 5 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly TT1 A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 6 | 55.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | TOP GUN V A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 10 | 45.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly H/XB J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 7 | 147.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS BK/CP/XB/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 1 | 160.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | MR VIGOR TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 11 | 242.0 | 24 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 3 over 1400m. LIGHT YEARS CHARM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D Eustace, won by 1/2, with JUNEAU PRIDE second and RISING FROM ASHES third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LIGHT YEARS CHARM | 46.7% | 2.14 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | JUNEAU PRIDE | 20.3% | 4.93 | 2 |
| 3 | 4 | ANOTHER WORLD | 19.1% | 5.23 | 4 |
| 4 | 10 | NEW FOREST | 4.3% | 23.16 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | TOP GUN | 2.3% | 43.32 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 2.1% | 47.00 | 7 |
| 7 | 11 | MEOWTH | 2.0% | 50.37 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | RISING FROM ASHES | 1.7% | 58.82 | 3 |
| 9 | 6 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 0.7% | 147.16 | 9 |
| 10 | 7 | CHEVAL VICTORIOUS | 0.5% | 200.99 | 10 |
| 11 | 9 | MR VIGOR | 0.3% | 331.05 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 15
PLACE
1 15
2 10.1
8 50.5
QUINELLA
1,2 34.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 15.5
1,8 132.5
2,8 92
FORECAST
2,1 45
TIERCE
2,1,8 617
TRIO
1,2,8 207
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 88
QUARTET
2,1,8,4 1,347
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,7,9/1,2,8 2,355
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 44
7/2 138.5