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Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 06:05

Race 3

Class 4 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 4 over 1400m. FLASH CURRENT, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K H Ting, won by 1, with RIDING TOGETHER second and THE AUSPICIOUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.4 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.22.15
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 FLASH CURRENT Closed strongly TT 1.22.15 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K H Ting 7 2.4 1
2 2 RIDING TOGETHER TT A Atzeni · D Eustace 10 3.1 1
3 11 THE AUSPICIOUS Closed strongly H J Orman · Y S Tsui 14 16.0 2-1/2
4 12 ZETTA FORCE Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung 9 6.5 2-3/4
5 8 LUCKY STATEMENT Led early B1/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 6 59.0 3-1/2
6 4 I P O BROS B P N Wong · D A Hayes 4 41.0 3-1/2
7 6 ACE Closed strongly CP1/TT L Ferraris · J Richards 11 101.0 4
8 3 EXCEL WONGCHOY H/TT H Bowman · P C Ng 2 8.4 4-1/2
9 5 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY SR B Thompson · C H Yip 3 66.0 4-3/4
10 7 LEGEND STAR TT A Badel · C S Shum 1 86.0 5-1/2
11 10 TIME TO FIRE M F Poon · D J Hall 12 22.0 5-1/2
12 13 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC Closed strongly TT K C Leung · F C Lor 8 45.0 6
12 14 MAGIC BEANS TT K De Melo · K W Lui 5 180.0 6
14 9 SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 13 110.0 8-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FLASH CURRENT2. RIDING TOGETHER+1L3. THE AUSPICIOUS+2.5L4. ZETTA FORCE+2.75L5. LUCKY STATEMENT+3.5L6. I P O BROS+3.5L7. ACE+4L8. EXCEL WONGCHOY+4.5L9. YIU CHEUNG VICTORY+4.75L10. LEGEND STAR+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FLASH CURRENT (31.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 FLASH CURRENT 31.5% 3.17 1
2 12 ZETTA FORCE 13.2% 7.60 4
3 2 RIDING TOGETHER 10.2% 9.85 2
4 11 THE AUSPICIOUS 9.8% 10.25 3
5 3 EXCEL WONGCHOY 8.2% 12.15 8
6 13 EVERYONE'S CLASSIC 6.8% 14.64 12
7 4 I P O BROS 3.6% 27.72 6
8 6 ACE 3.6% 28.06 7
9 10 TIME TO FIRE 3.5% 28.41 11
10 9 SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN 3.1% 31.96 14
11 8 LUCKY STATEMENT 2.5% 40.55 5
12 5 YIU CHEUNG VICTORY 1.6% 61.20 9
13 7 LEGEND STAR 1.5% 67.87 10
14 14 MAGIC BEANS 1.0% 103.20 12
FLASH CURRENT — wonZETTA FORCERIDING TOGETHERTHE AUSPICIOUSEXCEL WONGCHOYEVERYONE'S CLASSICI P O BROSACETIME TO FIRESUGAR QUEEN PRAWNLUCKY STATEMENTYIU CHEUNG VICTORYLEGEND STARMAGIC BEANS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 24.5

PLACE

1 14

2 12

11 44

QUINELLA

1,2 46

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 22.5

1,11 93.5

2,11 89

FORECAST

1,2 96

TIERCE

1,2,11 768

TRIO

1,2,11 231

FIRST 4

1,2,11,12 177

QUARTET

1,2,11,12 2,322

All pools (1 more)

2ND DOUBLE

7/1 159.5

7/2 43