Sha Tin · 2025-05-10 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | JOLLY JUMPER Closed strongly V/TT 1.35.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) P N Wong · T P Yung | P N Wong | T P Yung | 11 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 12 | LAPRAS Closed strongly BO1/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 4 | 13.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTIFUL WIN Led early CP/TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 10 | 8.4 | 1 |
| 4 | 4 | SMASHING EXPRESS Closed strongly B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPREME WINNER Closed strongly CP1 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 2 | 29.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 1 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN Closed strongly B/TT K De Melo · D J Whyte | K De Melo | D J Whyte | 12 | 29.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | SMART BEAUTY Closed strongly B/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 14 | 31.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | FAMILY FORTUNE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 9 | 6.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 10 | CASA LEGEND P/TT M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 3 | 7.2 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | CHATEAU LE PECHE Closed strongly B C L Chau · K H Ting | C L Chau | K H Ting | 13 | 9.8 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | ACCOLADE START B2/TT K C Leung · D Eustace | K C Leung | D Eustace | 7 | 21.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GANGNAM STAR XB-/TT2 Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 8 | 53.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING TURN B/XB H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 6 | 101.0 | 14-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-10 was Class 5 over 1600m. JOLLY JUMPER, ridden by P N Wong and trained by T P Yung, won by 1, with LAPRAS second and BEAUTIFUL WIN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.1 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SMASHING EXPRESS | 15.9% | 6.28 | 4 |
| 2 | 7 | FAMILY FORTUNE | 15.7% | 6.38 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | BEAUTIFUL WIN | 13.7% | 7.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 3 | JOLLY JUMPER | 9.9% | 10.05 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | CASA LEGEND | 8.9% | 11.25 | 10 |
| 6 | 9 | CHATEAU LE PECHE | 6.8% | 14.73 | 11 |
| 7 | 12 | LAPRAS | 5.8% | 17.26 | 2 |
| 8 | 1 | ACCOLADE START | 5.2% | 19.23 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | SMART BEAUTY | 4.2% | 24.06 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | WINNING SEVEN | 3.6% | 27.64 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | STRONGEST BOY | 3.5% | 28.80 | 6 |
| 12 | 11 | GANGNAM STAR | 2.8% | 35.27 | 13 |
| 13 | 5 | SUPREME WINNER | 2.7% | 37.24 | 5 |
| 14 | 13 | WINNING TURN | 1.3% | 77.54 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 41
PLACE
2 28
3 19
12 40
QUINELLA
3,12 511.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 75
2,12 258.5
3,12 163.5
FORECAST
3,12 738
TIERCE
3,12,2 5,866
TRIO
2,3,12 1,251
FIRST 4
2,3,4,12 1,611
QUARTET
3,12,2,4 38,113