跑馬地 · 2025-05-21 · 11:45
第 3場
2025-05-21跑馬地第3場，Class 4，途程1650米。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的CALIFORNIA MOXIE勝出，贏出2-3/4。SOARING BRONCO獲得亞軍；CELESTIAL PATCH獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.6倍大熱門THESIS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE 後段發力 B/TT 1.39.05 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 8 | SOARING BRONCO PC/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 3 | 5.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | CELESTIAL PATCH 後段發力 XB-/TT- A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 11 | 31.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR 後段發力 XB L Ferraris · K L Man | L Ferraris | K L Man | 5 | 26.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | LESLIE B M F Poon · C W Chang | M F Poon | C W Chang | 1 | 10.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FLYING WROTE 後段發力 H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 4 | 4.8 | 7-3/4 |
| 7 | 1 | THESIS TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 2 | 3.6 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 12 | LUCKY BANNER 早段領放 TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 9 | 17.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 5 | FIGOPUMPKIN 後段發力 B K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 115.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | OWNERS' PRAISE TT H Bentley · W Y So | H Bentley | W Y So | 8 | 42.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN B-/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 6 | 68.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | WRITTEN CASA B/XB1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 7 | 12.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SOARING BRONCO | 25.3% | 3.95 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | THESIS | 17.1% | 5.84 | 7 |
| 3 | 4 | FLYING WROTE | 15.1% | 6.63 | 6 |
| 4 | 6 | LESLIE | 13.9% | 7.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA MOXIE | 7.3% | 13.78 | 1 |
| 6 | 12 | LUCKY BANNER | 6.3% | 15.78 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | WRITTEN CASA | 5.7% | 17.62 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 3.6% | 27.45 | 10 |
| 9 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 2.6% | 38.51 | 4 |
| 10 | 5 | FIGOPUMPKIN | 1.1% | 92.45 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | CELESTIAL PATCH | 1.0% | 96.56 | 3 |
| 12 | 10 | GALLANT CROWN | 0.9% | 110.97 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 50
PLACE
7 99.5
8 17.5
11 18.5
QUINELLA
8,11 145
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 334
7,11 346
8,11 49
FORECAST
11,8 288
TIERCE
11,8,7 9,832
TRIO
7,8,11 1,956
FIRST 4
3,7,8,11 7,387
QUARTET
11,8,7,3 107,750
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,11/7,8,11 88,397
2ND DOUBLE
9/8 127
9/11 1,155.5