沙田 · 2025-05-25 · 10:45
第 11場
2025-05-25沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1400米。由Z Purton策騎、W Y So訓練的TOP DRAGON勝出，贏出HD。SUPER EXPRESS獲得亞軍；SOUTH STAR獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.2倍大熱門SUPER EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | TOP DRAGON 後段發力 TT 1.20.85 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 7 | 5.5 | HD |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER EXPRESS 後段發力 TT C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 6 | 2.2 | HD |
| 3 | 7 | SOUTH STAR 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 3 | 4.0 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | POPE CODY 後段發力 TT J Orman · Y S Tsui | J Orman | Y S Tsui | 10 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 3 | GENEVA 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 4 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | AKASHVANI L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 20.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 12 | KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 2 | 20.0 | 6 |
| 8 | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 後段發力 B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 1 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | IGOR STRAVINSKY 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 9 | 185.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | GHORGAN 後段發力 XB/TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 8 | 154.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | LOST CHILD TT1 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 59.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | MASTER CHAMPION 早段領放 CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 14 | 192.0 | 16 |
| 13 | 1 | ANODE B1/TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 12 | 82.0 | 30-3/4 |
| 14 | 13 | KING OF DUBAI TT H Bentley · M Newnham | H Bentley | M Newnham | 11 | 107.0 | 33-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SILVERY BREEZE K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SOUTH STAR | 26.9% | 3.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 11 | SUPER EXPRESS | 22.7% | 4.40 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | TOP DRAGON | 22.1% | 4.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | AKASHVANI | 6.2% | 16.11 | 6 |
| 5 | 3 | GENEVA | 4.9% | 20.38 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 3.9% | 25.49 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | KA YING SUPERB | 3.6% | 27.71 | 7 |
| 8 | 1 | ANODE | 2.5% | 40.51 | 13 |
| 9 | 5 | MASTER CHAMPION | 1.7% | 58.95 | 12 |
| 10 | 4 | POPE CODY | 1.5% | 66.53 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | LOST CHILD | 1.5% | 67.17 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | KING OF DUBAI | 1.4% | 72.47 | 14 |
| 13 | 2 | GHORGAN | 0.6% | 179.55 | 10 |
| 14 | 9 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 0.6% | 181.45 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 55.5
PLACE
7 13.5
8 18.5
11 14
QUINELLA
8,11 71
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 29
7,11 19.5
8,11 29
FORECAST
8,11 181
TIERCE
8,11,7 358
TRIO
7,8,11 51
FIRST 4
4,7,8,11 251
QUARTET
8,11,7,4 4,648
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
8/8 115.5
8/11 10.5
2ND TREBLE
2/8/8 1,767
2/8/11 155
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,8/7,8,11 4,519
SIX UP
5,6/3/1/2/8/8 7,288
5,6,11/3,4/1,6/2,9/7,8/8,11 427
1 [Z Purton] —
3 [K W Lui] —