沙田 · 2025-05-25 · 07:10
第 6場
2025-05-25沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1600米。由B Avdulla策騎、D Eustace訓練的MISTER DAPPER勝出，贏出2。SPECIAL HEDGE獲得亞軍；FIGHT TIME獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MISTER DAPPER 後段發力 B/XB/TT 1.33.94 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） B Avdulla · D Eustace | B Avdulla | D Eustace | 4 | 2.6 | 2 |
| 2 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE 早段領放 V/TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | FIGHT TIME 後段發力 V A Atzeni · D J Hall | A Atzeni | D J Hall | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE 後段發力 TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 4.8 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | THE AUSPICIOUS 後段發力 H M L Yeung · Y S Tsui | M L Yeung | Y S Tsui | 11 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 1 | 9.2 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 13 | STORM RUNNER 後段發力 TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 14 | 97.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | SETANTA B2/TT H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 9 | 34.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | SMART CITY V-/CP2/TT M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 3 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 13 | 23.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | NAMJONG KINGDOM H-/TT2 J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 12 | 25.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 12 | SMILING COLLECTOR V-/XB/CP2 A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 7 | 28.0 | 14-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | D STAR B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 98.0 | 17 |
| — | 5 | FORTUNE BOY Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | MISTER DAPPER | 18.8% | 5.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | WROTE A NEW PAGE | 14.2% | 7.06 | 4 |
| 3 | 11 | SPECIAL HEDGE | 12.9% | 7.74 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 12.6% | 7.95 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | FIGHT TIME | 9.1% | 11.04 | 3 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART CITY | 6.5% | 15.45 | 9 |
| 7 | 2 | SETANTA | 6.2% | 16.17 | 8 |
| 8 | 3 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 5.9% | 17.06 | 10 |
| 9 | 9 | THE AUSPICIOUS | 4.2% | 24.01 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 3.1% | 32.06 | 12 |
| 11 | 4 | NAMJONG KINGDOM | 2.8% | 35.32 | 11 |
| 12 | 8 | D STAR | 2.6% | 38.73 | 13 |
| 13 | 13 | STORM RUNNER | 1.3% | 79.32 | 7 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 26.5
PLACE
6 13
11 22
14 29.5
QUINELLA
6,11 102.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,11 40
6,14 53.5
11,14 128
FORECAST
6,11 153
TIERCE
6,11,14 900
TRIO
6,11,14 295
FIRST 4
6,7,11,14 196
QUARTET
6,11,14,7 3,098
全部彩池（另 1 項）
5TH DOUBLE
9/5,6 104
9/11 186