沙田 · 2025-05-25 · 14:10
第 1場
2025-05-25沙田第1場,Griffin,途程1200米。由M Chadwick策騎、W K Mo訓練的LIGHT YEARS GLORY勝出,贏出N。QUICK MONEY獲得亞軍;BABIECA獲得季軍。1.9倍大熱門QUICK MONEY跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP1/TT1 1.10.29 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 1 | 45.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | QUICK MONEY TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 1.9 | N |
| 3 | 8 | BABIECA CP/TT Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 6 | 4.4 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | MOTOR CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 5 | 27.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | WIN METHOD TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 67.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | FIELD MARSHAL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 13.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING CHAMPION TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 63.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | YOUNG FIGHTER TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 2 | 37.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | HYANNIS STAR TT1 L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 9 | 6.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | SPARKLE AND GOLD TT1 A Atzeni · C H Yip | A Atzeni | C H Yip | 8 | 75.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | KING DANCE XB1 L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 3 | 9.6 | 4-1/4 |
| — | 2 | KIAMA B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | QUICK MONEY | 28.7% | 3.49 | 2 |
| 2 | 8 | BABIECA | 19.7% | 5.08 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | KING DANCE | 15.1% | 6.63 | 11 |
| 4 | 7 | YOUNG FIGHTER | 14.8% | 6.76 | 8 |
| 5 | 10 | HYANNIS STAR | 5.4% | 18.67 | 9 |
| 6 | 4 | LIGHT YEARS GLORY | 3.5% | 28.32 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | WINNING CHAMPION | 2.9% | 34.22 | 7 |
| 8 | 11 | WIN METHOD | 2.7% | 36.58 | 5 |
| 9 | 5 | MOTOR | 2.7% | 37.10 | 4 |
| 10 | 9 | FIELD MARSHAL | 2.3% | 43.90 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | SPARKLE AND GOLD | 2.3% | 44.01 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 452.5
PLACE
1 11.5
4 73.5
8 13.5
QUINELLA
1,4 364.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 122
1,8 15.5
4,8 195
FORECAST
4,1 1,261
TIERCE
4,1,8 4,321
TRIO
1,4,8 255
FIRST 4
1,4,5,8 624
QUARTET
4,1,8,5 33,251