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Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 14:10

Race 1

Griffin 1200m Course A 11 runners

Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Griffin over 1200m. LIGHT YEARS GLORY, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by N, with QUICK MONEY second and BABIECA third. The 1.9 favourite QUICK MONEY finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.10.29
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 LIGHT YEARS GLORY CP1/TT1 1.10.29 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo 1 45.0 N
2 1 QUICK MONEY TT C L Chau · C H Yip 7 1.9 N
3 8 BABIECA CP/TT Z Purton · C W Chang 6 4.4 1/2
4 5 MOTOR CP/TT K C Leung · W K Mo 5 27.0 1-1/4
5 11 WIN METHOD TT H Bentley · C S Shum 4 67.0 1-1/4
6 9 FIELD MARSHAL M L Yeung · D A Hayes 11 13.0 1-3/4
7 12 WINNING CHAMPION TT1 M F Poon · C S Shum 10 63.0 2-1/4
8 7 YOUNG FIGHTER TT1 H Bowman · C Fownes 2 37.0 2-1/4
9 10 HYANNIS STAR TT1 L Ferraris · D Eustace 9 6.2 2-1/4
10 6 SPARKLE AND GOLD TT1 A Atzeni · C H Yip 8 75.0 3-1/2
11 3 KING DANCE XB1 L Hewitson · K W Lui 3 9.6 4-1/4
2 KIAMA B Avdulla · J Size

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. LIGHT YEARS GLORY2. QUICK MONEY+0.05L3. BABIECA+0.5L4. MOTOR+1.25L5. WIN METHOD+1.25L6. FIELD MARSHAL+1.75L7. WINNING CHAMPION+2.25L8. YOUNG FIGHTER+2.25L9. HYANNIS STAR+2.25L10. SPARKLE AND GOLD+3.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick QUICK MONEY (28.7%) finished 2nd — the winner LIGHT YEARS GLORY was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 QUICK MONEY 28.7% 3.49 2
2 8 BABIECA 19.7% 5.08 3
3 3 KING DANCE 15.1% 6.63 11
4 7 YOUNG FIGHTER 14.8% 6.76 8
5 10 HYANNIS STAR 5.4% 18.67 9
6 4 LIGHT YEARS GLORY 3.5% 28.32 1
7 12 WINNING CHAMPION 2.9% 34.22 7
8 11 WIN METHOD 2.7% 36.58 5
9 5 MOTOR 2.7% 37.10 4
10 9 FIELD MARSHAL 2.3% 43.90 6
11 6 SPARKLE AND GOLD 2.3% 44.01 10
QUICK MONEYBABIECAKING DANCEYOUNG FIGHTERHYANNIS STARLIGHT YEARS GLORY — wonWINNING CHAMPIONWIN METHODMOTORFIELD MARSHALSPARKLE AND GOLD

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 452.5

PLACE

1 11.5

4 73.5

8 13.5

QUINELLA

1,4 364.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 122

1,8 15.5

4,8 195

FORECAST

4,1 1,261

TIERCE

4,1,8 4,321

TRIO

1,4,8 255

FIRST 4

1,4,5,8 624

QUARTET

4,1,8,5 33,251