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Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 06:35

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Class 4 over 1400m. DO YOUR PART, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K W Lui, won by 2, with KA YING GLORY second and SUNNY Q third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 4.3 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.14
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 9 DO YOUR PART Wire to wire XB/TT 1.21.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K W Lui 10 4.3 2
2 6 KA YING GLORY BO1/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes 11 11.0 2
3 11 SUNNY Q Closed strongly TT1 A Atzeni · W Y So 5 23.0 3-3/4
4 14 YODA'S CHOICE Closed strongly CP/TT B Thompson · P C Ng 1 24.0 4-3/4
5 4 MONARCH COUNTY Closed strongly TT E C W Wong · C Fownes 4 4.6 6-1/4
6 3 SUPER LOVE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · C H Yip 3 10.0 6-1/2
7 8 BEAUTY LIVE B/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor 7 7.2 7-3/4
8 1 MEOWTH TT H Bowman · W K Mo 2 4.3 8-3/4
9 12 BLING BLING GENIUS L Hewitson · D J Whyte 14 15.0 9
10 10 FLYING DOUBLE Closed strongly CP M F Poon · D J Hall 12 35.0 9-1/4
11 5 BIG STRIDE Closed strongly J Orman · M Newnham 8 117.0 10-3/4
12 2 SPEEDY TRIDENT B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui 9 207.0 11-1/2
13 13 HE WAS ME B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 74.0 11-1/2
14 7 LUCKY STATEMENT B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 13 70.0 11-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DO YOUR PART2. KA YING GLORY+2L3. SUNNY Q+3.75L4. YODA'S CHOICE+4.75L5. MONARCH COUNTY+6.25L6. SUPER LOVE+6.5L7. BEAUTY LIVE+7.75L8. MEOWTH+8.75L9. BLING BLING GENIUS+9L10. FLYING DOUBLE+9.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick MONARCH COUNTY (23.8%) finished 5th — the winner DO YOUR PART was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MONARCH COUNTY 23.8% 4.20 5
2 1 MEOWTH 16.6% 6.01 8
3 3 SUPER LOVE 14.7% 6.79 6
4 6 KA YING GLORY 7.1% 14.01 2
5 9 DO YOUR PART 6.3% 15.81 1
6 14 YODA'S CHOICE 4.8% 20.90 4
7 8 BEAUTY LIVE 4.6% 21.75 7
8 11 SUNNY Q 4.6% 21.77 3
9 10 FLYING DOUBLE 4.3% 23.26 10
10 13 HE WAS ME 3.9% 25.37 13
11 12 BLING BLING GENIUS 3.8% 26.41 9
12 7 LUCKY STATEMENT 2.5% 40.06 14
13 5 BIG STRIDE 2.1% 48.59 11
14 2 SPEEDY TRIDENT 0.8% 123.80 12
MONARCH COUNTYMEOWTHSUPER LOVEKA YING GLORYDO YOUR PART — wonYODA'S CHOICEBEAUTY LIVESUNNY QFLYING DOUBLEHE WAS MEBLING BLING GENIUSLUCKY STATEMENTBIG STRIDESPEEDY TRIDENT

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 43

PLACE

6 42

9 16

11 60

QUINELLA

6,9 340.5

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 129.5

6,11 476

9,11 153

FORECAST

9,6 720

TIERCE

9,6,11 11,255

TRIO

6,9,11 3,112

FIRST 4

6,9,11,14 12,060

QUARTET

9,6,11,14 144,903

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

8/1/6 540

8/1/9 1,638

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,6/6,9,11 48,174

4TH DOUBLE

1/6 25.5

1/9 95.5