Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 08:15
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Group 1 over 2400m. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by J McDonald and trained by P F Yiu, won by 3-1/2, with RUBYLOT second and CAP FERRAT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP 2.26.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 3 | 1.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | RUBYLOT Closed strongly CP H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 8 | 19.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | CAP FERRAT C Williams · K W Lui | C Williams | K W Lui | 7 | 15.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 2 | DUBAI HONOUR XB/TT T Marquand · W J Haggas | T Marquand | W J Haggas | 1 | 3.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 10 | BUNDLE AWARD Closed strongly E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 9 | 18.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | ENSUED Closed strongly Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 4 | 8.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH TT B Avdulla · A S Cruz | B Avdulla | A S Cruz | 5 | 51.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 9 | WINNING DRAGON TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 10 | 62.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | LA CITY BLANCHE TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 2 | 61.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 10 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME Led early TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 61.0 | 21-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 58.7% | 1.70 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | DUBAI HONOUR | 11.1% | 9.05 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | ENSUED | 9.8% | 10.15 | 6 |
| 4 | 10 | BUNDLE AWARD | 7.8% | 12.89 | 5 |
| 5 | 3 | CAP FERRAT | 3.7% | 27.06 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | RUBYLOT | 2.4% | 40.99 | 2 |
| 7 | 5 | MOMENTS IN TIME | 2.1% | 48.52 | 10 |
| 8 | 7 | FIVE G PATCH | 1.5% | 65.39 | 7 |
| 9 | 9 | WINNING DRAGON | 1.5% | 66.63 | 8 |
| 10 | 8 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 1.5% | 68.79 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 18.5
PLACE
1 13.5
3 35
6 35
QUINELLA
1,6 159
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 44.5
1,6 54.5
3,6 253
FORECAST
1,6 247
TIERCE
1,6,3 1,607
TRIO
1,3,6 599
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 255
QUARTET
1,6,3,2 6,036
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
3/1 68.5
3/6 132.5