Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 14:01
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD Closed strongly B 1.21.21 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 3 | 1.5 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | DANCING CODE Led early B/TT B Thompson · C Fownes | B Thompson | C Fownes | 6 | 6.8 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | YOUNG CHAMPION Closed strongly E-/B B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 7 | 10.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MICKLEY Closed strongly TT C Williams · J Size | C Williams | J Size | 4 | 7.1 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | SWIFT ASCEND Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 8 | 18.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY CP2/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | ATULLIBIGEAL B/H/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | MID WINTER WIND CP/TT1 L Ferraris · M Newnham | L Ferraris | M Newnham | 1 | 14.0 | 8-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Class 2 over 1400m. PACKING HERMOD, ridden by Z Purton and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with DANCING CODE second and YOUNG CHAMPION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | PACKING HERMOD | 54.1% | 1.85 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | MICKLEY | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 3 | 2 | YOUNG CHAMPION | 11.1% | 9.04 | 3 |
| 4 | 4 | MID WINTER WIND | 6.4% | 15.51 | 8 |
| 5 | 6 | DANCING CODE | 5.3% | 18.98 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | SWIFT ASCEND | 4.6% | 21.51 | 5 |
| 7 | 3 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 4.3% | 23.35 | 6 |
| 8 | 8 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 1.4% | 72.73 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 15.5
PLACE
1 10.1
2 22
6 18.5
QUINELLA
1,6 40.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 27
1,6 20
2,6 59
FORECAST
1,6 60
TIERCE
1,6,2 228
TRIO
1,2,6 88
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 75
QUARTET
1,6,2,7 777
All pools (1 more)
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 192.5
8/6 207.5