Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 07:45
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Class 4 over 1400m. SHAMUS STORM, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1-1/4, with MAX QUE second and ONLY U third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SHAMUS STORM Closed strongly 1.21.50 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 2 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | MAX QUE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · M Newnham | H Bowman | M Newnham | 6 | 2.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | ONLY U Closed strongly CP/TT M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | OLDTOWN Closed strongly TT1 J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 9 | 39.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 1 | SPIRIT OF PEACE Closed strongly H J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 11 | 11.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | MIGHTY STEED Closed strongly Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 14 | 16.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER Closed strongly H/CP1/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 4 | 49.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 2 | FORERUNNER TT A Hamelin · W K Mo | A Hamelin | W K Mo | 5 | 28.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | SUNNY DARLING B/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 13 | 110.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | GALVANIC B-/TT T Marquand · C Fownes | T Marquand | C Fownes | 1 | 19.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 8 | VIVACIOUS WIN Closed strongly TT1 A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 10 | 70.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | KING SHOW B-/CP1/H1 K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 8 | 133.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 13 | 12 | PRECIOUS HILL TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 3 | 181.0 | 15-1/2 |
| 14 | 9 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN Led early H-/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 218.0 | 17-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SHAMUS STORM | 30.9% | 3.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MAX QUE | 14.1% | 7.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | SPIRIT OF PEACE | 10.8% | 9.23 | 5 |
| 4 | 14 | ONLY U | 7.0% | 14.31 | 3 |
| 5 | 2 | FORERUNNER | 6.0% | 16.65 | 8 |
| 6 | 13 | SUNNY DARLING | 5.7% | 17.40 | 9 |
| 7 | 5 | MIGHTY STEED | 5.4% | 18.42 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | GALVANIC | 4.4% | 22.74 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | OLDTOWN | 4.4% | 22.78 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | VIVACIOUS WIN | 4.4% | 22.81 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | DREAMING WINNER | 4.2% | 23.77 | 7 |
| 12 | 11 | KING SHOW | 1.1% | 92.30 | 12 |
| 13 | 9 | SUGAR QUEEN PRAWN | 0.9% | 109.52 | 14 |
| 14 | 12 | PRECIOUS HILL | 0.7% | 145.49 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 22
PLACE
3 12
4 12
14 28
QUINELLA
3,4 31
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 16.5
3,14 38
4,14 40.5
FORECAST
3,4 69
TIERCE
3,4,14 246
TRIO
3,4,14 75
FIRST 4
3,4,7,14 425
QUARTET
3,4,14,7 5,048
All pools (4 more)
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
11,14>5,6/3,4,14 4,082
6TH DOUBLE
5,6/3 52.5
5,6/4 10.5
TRIPLE TRIO
6,9,11/11,14>5,6/3,4,14 1,554,968
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,9,11/11,14>5,6/Any Combination 30,490