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Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 18:40

Race 11

Class 3 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.20.85
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 TOP DRAGON Closed strongly TT 1.20.85 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · W Y So 7 5.5 HD
2 11 SUPER EXPRESS Closed strongly TT C Williams · J Size 6 2.2 HD
3 7 SOUTH STAR Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · F C Lor 3 4.0 3
4 4 POPE CODY Closed strongly TT J Orman · Y S Tsui 10 24.0 3
5 3 GENEVA Closed strongly H Bowman · D J Hall 4 13.0 4-1/4
6 10 AKASHVANI L Hewitson · D A Hayes 13 20.0 5
7 12 KA YING SUPERB H/XB M F Poon · W K Mo 2 20.0 6
8 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Closed strongly B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung 1 15.0 6-1/4
9 9 IGOR STRAVINSKY Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz 9 185.0 6-1/2
10 2 GHORGAN Closed strongly XB/TT K C Leung · K L Man 8 154.0 7-1/4
11 14 LOST CHILD TT1 M L Yeung · C W Chang 5 59.0 11-1/2
12 5 MASTER CHAMPION Led early CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 14 192.0 16
13 1 ANODE B1/TT J McDonald · C S Shum 12 82.0 30-3/4
14 13 KING OF DUBAI TT H Bentley · M Newnham 11 107.0 33-1/4
— 0 SILVERY BREEZE K Teetan · D Eustace — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Class 3 over 1400m. TOP DRAGON, ridden by Z Purton and trained by W Y So, won by HD, with SUPER EXPRESS second and SOUTH STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite SUPER EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOP DRAGON—2. SUPER EXPRESS+0.2L3. SOUTH STAR+3L4. POPE CODY+3L5. GENEVA+4.25L6. AKASHVANI+5L7. KA YING SUPERB+6L8. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+6.25L9. IGOR STRAVINSKY+6.5L10. GHORGAN+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick SOUTH STAR (26.9%) finished 3rd — the winner TOP DRAGON was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 7 SOUTH STAR 26.9% 3.72 3
2 11 SUPER EXPRESS 22.7% 4.40 2
3 8 TOP DRAGON 22.1% 4.53 1
4 10 AKASHVANI 6.2% 16.11 6
5 3 GENEVA 4.9% 20.38 5
6 6 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 3.9% 25.49 8
7 12 KA YING SUPERB 3.6% 27.71 7
8 1 ANODE 2.5% 40.51 13
9 5 MASTER CHAMPION 1.7% 58.95 12
10 4 POPE CODY 1.5% 66.53 4
11 14 LOST CHILD 1.5% 67.17 11
12 13 KING OF DUBAI 1.4% 72.47 14
13 2 GHORGAN 0.6% 179.55 10
14 9 IGOR STRAVINSKY 0.6% 181.45 9
SOUTH STARSUPER EXPRESSTOP DRAGON — wonAKASHVANIGENEVAEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSKA YING SUPERBANODEMASTER CHAMPIONPOPE CODYLOST CHILDKING OF DUBAIGHORGANIGOR STRAVINSKY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 55.5

PLACE

7 13.5

8 18.5

11 14

QUINELLA

8,11 71

QUINELLA PLACE

7,8 29

7,11 19.5

8,11 29

FORECAST

8,11 181

TIERCE

8,11,7 358

TRIO

7,8,11 51

FIRST 4

4,7,8,11 251

QUARTET

8,11,7,4 4,648

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

8/8 115.5

8/11 10.5

2ND TREBLE

2/8/8 1,767

2/8/11 155

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,8/7,8,11 4,519

SIX UP

5,6/3/1/2/8/8 7,288

5,6,11/3,4/1,6/2,9/7,8/8,11 427

3 [K W Lui] —

1 [Z Purton] —