Sha Tin · 2025-05-25 · 09:55
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-25 was Class 3 over 1000m. STELLAR EXPRESS, ridden by B Avdulla and trained by J Size, won by 2, with METRO POWER second and WE ARE HERO third. The 3.6 favourite JUSTIFYING finished 14th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | STELLAR EXPRESS B 0.57.40 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 5 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 9 | METRO POWER B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 7 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | WE ARE HERO V/TT H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY B/TT J McDonald · P C Ng | J McDonald | P C Ng | 4 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 8 | LUCKY TWIN STARS CP/XB K Teetan · K W Lui | K Teetan | K W Lui | 13 | 43.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | ALL ROUND WINNER M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 13 | ALSONSO A Badel · M Newnham | A Badel | M Newnham | 6 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | CELESTIAL HERO L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 7 | SIR CHARGE XB1/TT1 A Hamelin · D Eustace | A Hamelin | D Eustace | 3 | 31.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 6 | SUPER FORTUNE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL H/TT M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 2 | 43.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 3 | DREAM WINNER CP/TT C L Chau · F C Lor | C L Chau | F C Lor | 10 | 8.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | BLAZING WIND B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 14 | 5.6 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | JUSTIFYING H1/TT A Atzeni · C Fownes | A Atzeni | C Fownes | 1 | 3.6 | 7-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | JUSTIFYING | 33.6% | 2.98 | 14 |
| 2 | 14 | BLAZING WIND | 11.2% | 8.94 | 13 |
| 3 | 13 | ALSONSO | 10.1% | 9.86 | 7 |
| 4 | 2 | STELLAR EXPRESS | 7.8% | 12.75 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | HEALTHY HEALTHY | 6.9% | 14.44 | 4 |
| 6 | 1 | WE ARE HERO | 6.9% | 14.49 | 3 |
| 7 | 6 | SUPER FORTUNE | 5.4% | 18.61 | 10 |
| 8 | 3 | DREAM WINNER | 4.7% | 21.48 | 12 |
| 9 | 11 | NORTHERN FIRE BALL | 2.9% | 34.35 | 11 |
| 10 | 7 | SIR CHARGE | 2.4% | 41.21 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | LUCKY TWIN STARS | 2.3% | 44.26 | 5 |
| 12 | 4 | CELESTIAL HERO | 2.2% | 44.94 | 8 |
| 13 | 12 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 1.8% | 54.87 | 6 |
| 14 | 9 | METRO POWER | 1.7% | 57.78 | 2 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 138.5
PLACE
1 45.5
2 37
9 42.5
QUINELLA
2,9 861
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 214
1,9 247
2,9 260
FORECAST
2,9 1,993
TIERCE
2,9,1 21,846
TRIO
1,2,9 5,018
FIRST 4
1,2,5,9 7,942
QUARTET
2,9,1,5 190,210
All pools (2 more)
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/1,2,9 312,998
8TH DOUBLE
1/2 222.5
1/9 46.5