沙田 · 2025-05-31 · 06:05
第 4場
2025-05-31沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1650米。由L Hewitson策騎、M Newnham訓練的NEW FOREST勝出，贏出1-1/2。PRECISION GOAL獲得亞軍；MEEPMEEP獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.4倍大熱門MEEPMEEP跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | NEW FOREST 一路領先 TT 1.40.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 14 | 11.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | PRECISION GOAL 後段發力 BO/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 5 | 9.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | MEEPMEEP 後段發力 E/PC/TT B Avdulla · J Size | B Avdulla | J Size | 11 | 4.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | MAGNIAC 後段發力 TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 24.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | VIVA CHALEUR 後段發力 H/PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 9 | 9.5 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND Z Purton · D Eustace | Z Purton | D Eustace | 13 | 7.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 6 | CELESTIAL HARMONY 後段發力 B-/TT1 B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 7 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | CHARMING STEED TT E C W Wong · C Fownes | E C W Wong | C Fownes | 8 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | FOREVER FOLKS 後段發力 K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 6 | 8.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 13 | ALL ARE MINE 後段發力 H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 13.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | DEAL COMPLETED XB/P1 H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 1 | 81.0 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | LUCKY IMPACT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 8.1 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 8 | REGENCY WIN WIN CP/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 12 | 102.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | MEEPMEEP | 18.8% | 5.32 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | PRECISION GOAL | 15.6% | 6.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 7 | FOREVER FOLKS | 11.5% | 8.73 | 10 |
| 4 | 4 | FASHION LEGEND | 11.4% | 8.75 | 6 |
| 5 | 2 | CHARMING STEED | 8.8% | 11.33 | 9 |
| 6 | 1 | NEW FOREST | 6.9% | 14.51 | 1 |
| 7 | 12 | VIVA CHALEUR | 6.5% | 15.27 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 5.3% | 18.79 | 8 |
| 9 | 14 | LUCKY IMPACT | 5.1% | 19.67 | 13 |
| 10 | 13 | ALL ARE MINE | 3.3% | 30.11 | 11 |
| 11 | 3 | MAGNIAC | 3.2% | 31.14 | 4 |
| 12 | 6 | CELESTIAL HARMONY | 1.5% | 68.20 | 7 |
| 13 | 10 | DEAL COMPLETED | 1.3% | 77.72 | 12 |
| 14 | 8 | REGENCY WIN WIN | 0.8% | 128.31 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 118
PLACE
1 44.5
5 29
9 17.5
QUINELLA
1,5 679.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 227
1,9 129
5,9 81.5
FORECAST
1,5 1,318
TIERCE
1,5,9 5,865
TRIO
1,5,9 1,025
FIRST 4
1,3,5,9 4,416
QUARTET
1,5,9,3 144,195
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3RD DOUBLE
6/1 3,082
6/5 205.5