沙田 · 2025-05-31 · 09:55
第 11場
2025-05-31沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1600米。由L Ferraris策騎、T P Yung訓練的TOURBILLON PRINCE勝出，贏出2-1/4。GENTLEMEN LEGACY獲得亞軍；PRESTIGE RICKY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.7倍大熱門FLYING LUCK跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE 後段發力 TT 1.34.67 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · T P Yung | L Ferraris | T P Yung | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 4 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY 後段發力 TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 5 | 13.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 3 | 11 | PRESTIGE RICKY 後段發力 H/XB C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 9 | 50.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | MAGNIFICENT NINE 後段發力 B/E A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 3 | 6.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | FLYING LUCK 後段發力 B-/H-/V1/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 6 | 2.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | ARIEL B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 7 | 40.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | WINNING GOLD TT J Orman · W Y So | J Orman | W Y So | 10 | 7.2 | 5 |
| 8 | 8 | FIGHTING MACHINE B/SR K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 17.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 13 | CHARITY TOGETHER 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace | M Chadwick | D Eustace | 14 | 150.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | YOUNG BRILLIANT B E C W Wong · C H Yip | E C W Wong | C H Yip | 2 | 29.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | NEVER PETER OUT 早段領放 V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor | M L Yeung | F C Lor | 11 | 43.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | ILLUMINOUS B K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 13 | 19.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes | B Thompson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.1 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 10 | LEGENDARY YEARS B Y L Chung · K L Man | Y L Chung | K L Man | 4 | 162.0 | 48 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | FLYING LUCK | 23.9% | 4.18 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | MAGNIFICENT NINE | 16.1% | 6.20 | 4 |
| 3 | 14 | ORIENTAL SMOKE | 12.3% | 8.12 | 13 |
| 4 | 1 | WINNING GOLD | 10.4% | 9.66 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | FIGHTING MACHINE | 7.8% | 12.90 | 8 |
| 6 | 2 | TOURBILLON PRINCE | 6.7% | 14.82 | 1 |
| 7 | 3 | NEVER PETER OUT | 6.0% | 16.80 | 11 |
| 8 | 6 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 3.6% | 27.57 | 10 |
| 9 | 4 | GENTLEMEN LEGACY | 3.6% | 28.07 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | ILLUMINOUS | 3.0% | 33.54 | 12 |
| 11 | 5 | ARIEL | 2.9% | 34.46 | 6 |
| 12 | 13 | CHARITY TOGETHER | 1.7% | 59.16 | 9 |
| 13 | 11 | PRESTIGE RICKY | 1.3% | 74.82 | 3 |
| 14 | 10 | LEGENDARY YEARS | 0.7% | 136.94 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 118.5
PLACE
2 36
4 39.5
11 100
QUINELLA
2,4 856
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 233
2,11 757
4,11 798
FORECAST
2,4 1,683
TIERCE
2,4,11 45,722
TRIO
2,4,11 7,602
FIRST 4
2,4,7,11 8,541
QUARTET
2,4,11,7 222,715
全部彩池（另 4 項）
10TH DOUBLE
11/2 280
11/4 61.5
2ND TREBLE
8/11/2 3,199
8/11/4 717
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,6,11/2,4,11 761,534
SIX UP
2,11/1,4/2,7/3,8/6,11/2,4 9,406
11/1/2/8/11/2 118,074
2 [H Bowman] —
1 [J Size] —