沙田 · 2025-05-31 · 06:35
第 5場
2025-05-31沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米。由L Ferraris策騎、D Eustace訓練的DAZZLING FIT勝出，贏出1-1/4。FUN TOGETHER獲得亞軍；GOLDEN LUCK獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以1.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAZZLING FIT 後段發力 XB 1.21.58 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · D Eustace | L Ferraris | D Eustace | 3 | 1.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 7 | FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | GOLDEN LUCK 後段發力 XB/TT E C W Wong · K L Man | E C W Wong | K L Man | 11 | 52.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 3 | SOLID WIN 後段發力 TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu | A Atzeni | P F Yiu | 1 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | MR COOL 後段發力 TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 10 | 10.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | GALLANT EPOCH 後段發力 B-/V1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 14 | 12.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | HANDSOME BOMB CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 7 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 11 | KING LOTUS 後段發力 L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 13 | 30.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | ARDEN 後段發力 B/E/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 12 | 63.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 2 | BASIC INSTINCT 早段領放 B/TT1 K De Melo · Y S Tsui | K De Melo | Y S Tsui | 2 | 216.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 8 | GOR GOR TT B Thompson · J Richards | B Thompson | J Richards | 6 | 198.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 10 | VON BAER M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 8 | 106.0 | 19-1/2 |
| 13 | 13 | MR JUSTICE CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum | H T Mo | C S Shum | 9 | 294.0 | 45-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | EXCEL WONGCHOY H-/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 5 | 59.0 | 46-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIA STAR Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | DAZZLING FIT | 41.4% | 2.41 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | MR COOL | 10.9% | 9.20 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | SOLID WIN | 9.7% | 10.26 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | GALLANT EPOCH | 8.1% | 12.38 | 6 |
| 5 | 6 | EXCEL WONGCHOY | 7.9% | 12.62 | 14 |
| 6 | 11 | KING LOTUS | 4.0% | 25.19 | 8 |
| 7 | 12 | HANDSOME BOMB | 3.9% | 25.41 | 7 |
| 8 | 9 | GOLDEN LUCK | 3.9% | 25.59 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | FUN TOGETHER | 3.4% | 29.78 | 2 |
| 10 | 10 | VON BAER | 2.0% | 48.78 | 12 |
| 11 | 14 | ARDEN | 1.8% | 54.79 | 9 |
| 12 | 8 | GOR GOR | 1.4% | 71.88 | 11 |
| 13 | 2 | BASIC INSTINCT | 0.8% | 131.01 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | MR JUSTICE | 0.8% | 133.27 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 13.5
PLACE
1 10.5
7 28.5
9 86.5
QUINELLA
1,7 89.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 35
1,9 103
7,9 619.5
FORECAST
1,7 126
TIERCE
1,7,9 2,213
TRIO
1,7,9 864
FIRST 4
1,3,7,9 1,279
QUARTET
1,7,9,3 13,565
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST TREBLE
6/1/1 4,547
6/1/7 5,965
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,5,9/1,7,9 86,345
4TH DOUBLE
1/1 242.5
1/7 423.5