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Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 14:31

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB 1.21.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace 3 1.3 1-1/4
2 7 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 4 16.0 1-1/4
3 9 GOLDEN LUCK Closed strongly XB/TT E C W Wong · K L Man 11 52.0 3-1/4
4 3 SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 1 12.0 3-3/4
5 4 MR COOL Closed strongly TT K Teetan · F C Lor 10 10.0 4-1/4
6 5 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly B-/V1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 14 12.0 4-3/4
7 12 HANDSOME BOMB CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 7 18.0 6-1/2
8 11 KING LOTUS Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 13 30.0 6-1/2
9 14 ARDEN Closed strongly B/E/TT A Badel · J Size 12 63.0 8-1/2
10 2 BASIC INSTINCT Led early B/TT1 K De Melo · Y S Tsui 2 216.0 9
11 8 GOR GOR TT B Thompson · J Richards 6 198.0 10-1/4
12 10 VON BAER M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 106.0 19-1/2
13 13 MR JUSTICE CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 9 294.0 45-1/4
14 6 EXCEL WONGCHOY H-/TT H Bowman · P C Ng 5 59.0 46-1/4
— 0 CALIFORNIA STAR Y L Chung · A S Cruz — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Class 4 over 1400m. DAZZLING FIT, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/4, with FUN TOGETHER second and GOLDEN LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAZZLING FIT—2. FUN TOGETHER+1.25L3. GOLDEN LUCK+3.25L4. SOLID WIN+3.75L5. MR COOL+4.25L6. GALLANT EPOCH+4.75L7. HANDSOME BOMB+6.5L8. KING LOTUS+6.5L9. ARDEN+8.5L10. BASIC INSTINCT+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DAZZLING FIT (41.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DAZZLING FIT 41.4% 2.41 1
2 4 MR COOL 10.9% 9.20 5
3 3 SOLID WIN 9.7% 10.26 4
4 5 GALLANT EPOCH 8.1% 12.38 6
5 6 EXCEL WONGCHOY 7.9% 12.62 14
6 11 KING LOTUS 4.0% 25.19 8
7 12 HANDSOME BOMB 3.9% 25.41 7
8 9 GOLDEN LUCK 3.9% 25.59 3
9 7 FUN TOGETHER 3.4% 29.78 2
10 10 VON BAER 2.0% 48.78 12
11 14 ARDEN 1.8% 54.79 9
12 8 GOR GOR 1.4% 71.88 11
13 2 BASIC INSTINCT 0.8% 131.01 10
14 13 MR JUSTICE 0.8% 133.27 13
DAZZLING FIT — wonMR COOLSOLID WINGALLANT EPOCHEXCEL WONGCHOYKING LOTUSHANDSOME BOMBGOLDEN LUCKFUN TOGETHERVON BAERARDENGOR GORBASIC INSTINCTMR JUSTICE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 13.5

PLACE

1 10.5

7 28.5

9 86.5

QUINELLA

1,7 89.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 35

1,9 103

7,9 619.5

FORECAST

1,7 126

TIERCE

1,7,9 2,213

TRIO

1,7,9 864

FIRST 4

1,3,7,9 1,279

QUARTET

1,7,9,3 13,565

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

6/1/1 4,547

6/1/7 5,965

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,9/1,7,9 86,345

4TH DOUBLE

1/1 242.5

1/7 423.5