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Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 06:35

Race 5

Class 4 1400m Course B 14 runners

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Class 4 over 1400m. DAZZLING FIT, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by D Eustace, won by 1-1/4, with FUN TOGETHER second and GOLDEN LUCK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.3 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.21.58
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 1 DAZZLING FIT Closed strongly XB 1.21.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · D Eustace 3 1.3 1-1/4
2 7 FUN TOGETHER CP/TT C L Chau · T P Yung 4 16.0 1-1/4
3 9 GOLDEN LUCK Closed strongly XB/TT E C W Wong · K L Man 11 52.0 3-1/4
4 3 SOLID WIN Closed strongly TT A Atzeni · P F Yiu 1 12.0 3-3/4
5 4 MR COOL Closed strongly TT K Teetan · F C Lor 10 10.0 4-1/4
6 5 GALLANT EPOCH Closed strongly B-/V1/TT Z Purton · K W Lui 14 12.0 4-3/4
7 12 HANDSOME BOMB CP-/B1/TT M Chadwick · W Y So 7 18.0 6-1/2
8 11 KING LOTUS Closed strongly L Hewitson · M Newnham 13 30.0 6-1/2
9 14 ARDEN Closed strongly B/E/TT A Badel · J Size 12 63.0 8-1/2
10 2 BASIC INSTINCT Led early B/TT1 K De Melo · Y S Tsui 2 216.0 9
11 8 GOR GOR TT B Thompson · J Richards 6 198.0 10-1/4
12 10 VON BAER M L Yeung · D A Hayes 8 106.0 19-1/2
13 13 MR JUSTICE CP/TT H T Mo · C S Shum 9 294.0 45-1/4
14 6 EXCEL WONGCHOY H-/TT H Bowman · P C Ng 5 59.0 46-1/4
0 CALIFORNIA STAR Y L Chung · A S Cruz

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. DAZZLING FIT2. FUN TOGETHER+1.25L3. GOLDEN LUCK+3.25L4. SOLID WIN+3.75L5. MR COOL+4.25L6. GALLANT EPOCH+4.75L7. HANDSOME BOMB+6.5L8. KING LOTUS+6.5L9. ARDEN+8.5L10. BASIC INSTINCT+9L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick DAZZLING FIT (41.4%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 DAZZLING FIT 41.4% 2.41 1
2 4 MR COOL 10.9% 9.20 5
3 3 SOLID WIN 9.7% 10.26 4
4 5 GALLANT EPOCH 8.1% 12.38 6
5 6 EXCEL WONGCHOY 7.9% 12.62 14
6 11 KING LOTUS 4.0% 25.19 8
7 12 HANDSOME BOMB 3.9% 25.41 7
8 9 GOLDEN LUCK 3.9% 25.59 3
9 7 FUN TOGETHER 3.4% 29.78 2
10 10 VON BAER 2.0% 48.78 12
11 14 ARDEN 1.8% 54.79 9
12 8 GOR GOR 1.4% 71.88 11
13 2 BASIC INSTINCT 0.8% 131.01 10
14 13 MR JUSTICE 0.8% 133.27 13
DAZZLING FIT — wonMR COOLSOLID WINGALLANT EPOCHEXCEL WONGCHOYKING LOTUSHANDSOME BOMBGOLDEN LUCKFUN TOGETHERVON BAERARDENGOR GORBASIC INSTINCTMR JUSTICE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 13.5

PLACE

1 10.5

7 28.5

9 86.5

QUINELLA

1,7 89.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,7 35

1,9 103

7,9 619.5

FORECAST

1,7 126

TIERCE

1,7,9 2,213

TRIO

1,7,9 864

FIRST 4

1,3,7,9 1,279

QUARTET

1,7,9,3 13,565

All pools (3 more)

1ST TREBLE

6/1/1 4,547

6/1/7 5,965

2ND DOUBLE TRIO

1,5,9/1,7,9 86,345

4TH DOUBLE

1/1 242.5

1/7 423.5