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Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 05:05

Race 2

Class 4 1200m Course B 14 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Class 4 over 1200m. MATTERS MOST, ridden by E C W Wong and trained by C S Shum, won by 3, with FLOWING RICHES second and KA YING RESILIENCE third. The 2.7 favourite FLOWING RICHES finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.79
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 MATTERS MOST B1/TT 1.08.79 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) E C W Wong · C S Shum 1 17.0 3
2 5 FLOWING RICHES M L Yeung · K H Ting 10 2.7 3
3 11 KA YING RESILIENCE PC/TT J Orman · D A Hayes 9 22.0 4-1/2
4 3 LUCKY ARCHANGEL B M F Poon · F C Lor 2 12.0 4-3/4
5 9 TURF PHOENIX B Thompson · W Y So 5 253.0 5-1/4
6 4 EMBLAZON TT1 C L Chau · W K Mo 8 34.0 5-1/4
7 1 COURIER ALADDIN CP/XB/TT Z Purton · K L Man 7 4.2 6
8 14 SIGHT DREAMER TT K Teetan · J Size 12 6.4 7-1/4
9 2 AMAZING VICTORY TT K C Leung · C W Chang 6 32.0 7-1/2
10 7 SUPER UNIVERSAL TT1 L Hewitson · K W Lui 11 168.0 7-3/4
11 6 STRAIGHT TO GLORY P H Bowman · T P Yung 3 11.0 8
12 10 GLACIATED B A Atzeni · P C Ng 4 17.0 8-1/2
13 13 EURO ROCKS B/TT Y L Chung · C H Yip 14 29.0 11-1/4
14 12 RIDING HIGH B/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz 13 64.0 15

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MATTERS MOST2. FLOWING RICHES+3L3. KA YING RESILIENCE+4.5L4. LUCKY ARCHANGEL+4.75L5. TURF PHOENIX+5.25L6. EMBLAZON+5.25L7. COURIER ALADDIN+6L8. SIGHT DREAMER+7.25L9. AMAZING VICTORY+7.5L10. SUPER UNIVERSAL+7.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick COURIER ALADDIN (17.3%) finished 7th — the winner MATTERS MOST was rated #11. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 COURIER ALADDIN 17.3% 5.79 7
2 3 LUCKY ARCHANGEL 10.5% 9.53 4
3 14 SIGHT DREAMER 9.6% 10.42 8
4 5 FLOWING RICHES 9.5% 10.58 2
5 11 KA YING RESILIENCE 9.0% 11.12 3
6 10 GLACIATED 8.3% 12.02 12
7 6 STRAIGHT TO GLORY 7.5% 13.25 11
8 4 EMBLAZON 6.8% 14.65 6
9 13 EURO ROCKS 5.5% 18.19 13
10 7 SUPER UNIVERSAL 4.7% 21.37 10
11 8 MATTERS MOST 3.9% 25.48 1
12 12 RIDING HIGH 3.4% 29.79 14
13 2 AMAZING VICTORY 3.0% 32.99 9
14 9 TURF PHOENIX 1.0% 98.64 5
COURIER ALADDINLUCKY ARCHANGELSIGHT DREAMERFLOWING RICHESKA YING RESILIENCEGLACIATEDSTRAIGHT TO GLORYEMBLAZONEURO ROCKSSUPER UNIVERSALMATTERS MOST — wonRIDING HIGHAMAZING VICTORYTURF PHOENIX

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 175.5

PLACE

5 14

8 46

11 57.5

QUINELLA

5,8 239.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 83

5,11 114

8,11 458

FORECAST

8,5 803

TIERCE

8,5,11 12,584

TRIO

5,8,11 1,804

FIRST 4

3,5,8,11 4,269

QUARTET

8,5,11,3 89,853

All pools (1 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/5 23

2/8 1,042.5