Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 12:31
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY MAN Closed strongly BO/H 1.21.93 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 1 | 3.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY B/TT Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 4 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | CIRCUIT FIERY Closed strongly PC/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 5 | 8.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 8 | FLYING ROMANTIC Closed strongly B M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 9 | LUCKY GENERATIONS Closed strongly PC/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 9 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | FOREMOST TEDDY B/TT J Orman · C S Shum | J Orman | C S Shum | 2 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TATTENHAM B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 28.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP V L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 10 | 15.0 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | HO HO STAR Closed strongly H K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 14 | 40.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS Closed strongly CP-/XB-/B1/TT1 M Chadwick · D J Whyte | M Chadwick | D J Whyte | 11 | 109.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 5 | POCHETTINO H/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 6 | 15.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 7 | 59.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | GLUCK RACER H-/B H Bentley · W K Mo | H Bentley | W K Mo | 12 | 36.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 13 | FUNG Led early B/TT H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 13 | 159.0 | 16-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Class 5 over 1400m. LUCKY MAN, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D A Hayes, won by 3/4, with CIRCUIT MIGHTY second and CIRCUIT FIERY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.1 favourite CIRCUIT MIGHTY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FLYING ROMANTIC | 14.9% | 6.73 | 4 |
| 2 | 1 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 14.6% | 6.87 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | LUCKY MAN | 10.0% | 10.03 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | FOREMOST TEDDY | 7.9% | 12.65 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | HO HO STAR | 7.8% | 12.74 | 9 |
| 6 | 14 | JOYFUL FRIENDSHIP | 6.9% | 14.58 | 8 |
| 7 | 3 | GLUCK RACER | 6.7% | 14.88 | 13 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT FIERY | 6.2% | 16.07 | 3 |
| 9 | 12 | TATTENHAM | 6.0% | 16.80 | 7 |
| 10 | 9 | LUCKY GENERATIONS | 5.7% | 17.58 | 5 |
| 11 | 5 | POCHETTINO | 5.0% | 19.85 | 11 |
| 12 | 11 | SMART BEAUTY | 4.0% | 25.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 7 | BRAVE OF FRIENDS | 3.0% | 32.92 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | FUNG | 1.4% | 72.03 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32.5
PLACE
1 15.5
2 13.5
4 27
QUINELLA
1,2 49.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 25
1,4 54.5
2,4 48
FORECAST
2,1 132
TIERCE
2,1,4 607
TRIO
1,2,4 135
FIRST 4
1,2,4,8 183
QUARTET
2,1,4,8 3,443