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Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 07:05

Race 6

Group 3 1600m Course B 11 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Group 3 over 1600m. PRAY FOR MIR, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W K Mo, won by 1/2, with CHANCHENG GLORY second and BEAUTY ETERNAL third. The winner led throughout. The 3.7 favourite JOHANNES BRAHMS finished 7th.

Result

Official · 1.33.83
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 11 PRAY FOR MIR Wire to wire CP 1.33.83 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W K Mo 8 8.9 1/2
2 2 CHANCHENG GLORY B/XB L Ferraris · K W Lui 10 20.0 1/2
3 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL Closed strongly E- J Orman · J Size 2 18.0 1-1/4
4 6 SUNLIGHT POWER Closed strongly CP/H H Bentley · P F Yiu 7 4.6 1-3/4
5 5 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly H-/TT A Badel · F C Lor 9 14.0 1-3/4
6 1 RED LION H Bowman · J Size 1 7.8 2
7 9 JOHANNES BRAHMS A Atzeni · P C Ng 5 3.7 3-1/4
8 8 ENCOUNTERED TT K Teetan · D J Hall 6 56.0 3-3/4
9 4 BEAUTY JOY TT Z Purton · A S Cruz 4 7.3 4
10 7 DIVANO TT Y L Chung · K W Lui 3 6.9 5-1/2
11 10 KA YING GENERATION PC/TT1 M F Poon · P C Ng 11 63.0 7-3/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PRAY FOR MIR2. CHANCHENG GLORY+0.5L3. BEAUTY ETERNAL+1.25L4. SUNLIGHT POWER+1.75L5. HAPPY TOGETHER+1.75L6. RED LION+2L7. JOHANNES BRAHMS+3.25L8. ENCOUNTERED+3.75L9. BEAUTY JOY+4L10. DIVANO+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick JOHANNES BRAHMS (22.6%) finished 7th — the winner PRAY FOR MIR was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 JOHANNES BRAHMS 22.6% 4.42 7
2 1 RED LION 18.4% 5.43 6
3 11 PRAY FOR MIR 11.5% 8.70 1
4 4 BEAUTY JOY 9.3% 10.80 9
5 6 SUNLIGHT POWER 8.8% 11.36 4
6 7 DIVANO 8.1% 12.39 10
7 2 CHANCHENG GLORY 7.8% 12.81 2
8 3 BEAUTY ETERNAL 5.5% 18.14 3
9 5 HAPPY TOGETHER 3.5% 28.58 5
10 10 KA YING GENERATION 2.3% 44.13 11
11 8 ENCOUNTERED 2.3% 44.29 8
JOHANNES BRAHMSRED LIONPRAY FOR MIR — wonBEAUTY JOYSUNLIGHT POWERDIVANOCHANCHENG GLORYBEAUTY ETERNALHAPPY TOGETHERKA YING GENERATIONENCOUNTERED

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 89

PLACE

2 53

3 43

11 31

QUINELLA

2,11 914

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 444

2,11 265.5

3,11 240

FORECAST

11,2 1,875

TIERCE

11,2,3 30,526

TRIO

2,3,11 2,930

FIRST 4

2,3,6,11 5,292

QUARTET

11,2,3,6 175,249

All pools (1 more)

5TH DOUBLE

1/2 49.5

1/11 240.5