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Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 17:53

Race 11

Class 3 1600m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.67
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 TOURBILLON PRINCE Closed strongly TT 1.34.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · T P Yung 8 11.0 2-1/4
2 4 GENTLEMEN LEGACY Closed strongly TT A Badel · A S Cruz 5 13.0 2-1/4
3 11 PRESTIGE RICKY Closed strongly H/XB C L Chau · P F Yiu 9 50.0 2-1/2
4 7 MAGNIFICENT NINE Closed strongly B/E A Atzeni · J Size 3 6.3 2-1/2
5 9 FLYING LUCK Closed strongly B-/H-/V1/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes 6 2.7 3-1/4
6 5 ARIEL B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes 7 40.0 5
7 1 WINNING GOLD TT J Orman · W Y So 10 7.2 5
8 8 FIGHTING MACHINE B/SR K C Leung · P C Ng 1 17.0 5-1/2
9 13 CHARITY TOGETHER Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · D Eustace 14 150.0 6-1/4
10 6 YOUNG BRILLIANT B E C W Wong · C H Yip 2 29.0 6-1/2
11 3 NEVER PETER OUT Led early V/TT M L Yeung · F C Lor 11 43.0 7-1/4
12 12 ILLUMINOUS B K Teetan · F C Lor 13 19.0 11-1/4
13 14 ORIENTAL SMOKE B/TT B Thompson · D A Hayes 12 6.1 11-3/4
14 10 LEGENDARY YEARS B Y L Chung · K L Man 4 162.0 48

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Class 3 over 1600m. TOURBILLON PRINCE, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by T P Yung, won by 2-1/4, with GENTLEMEN LEGACY second and PRESTIGE RICKY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite FLYING LUCK finished 5th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. TOURBILLON PRINCE—2. GENTLEMEN LEGACY+2.25L3. PRESTIGE RICKY+2.5L4. MAGNIFICENT NINE+2.5L5. FLYING LUCK+3.25L6. ARIEL+5L7. WINNING GOLD+5L8. FIGHTING MACHINE+5.5L9. CHARITY TOGETHER+6.25L10. YOUNG BRILLIANT+6.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick FLYING LUCK (23.9%) finished 5th — the winner TOURBILLON PRINCE was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 9 FLYING LUCK 23.9% 4.18 5
2 7 MAGNIFICENT NINE 16.1% 6.20 4
3 14 ORIENTAL SMOKE 12.3% 8.12 13
4 1 WINNING GOLD 10.4% 9.66 7
5 8 FIGHTING MACHINE 7.8% 12.90 8
6 2 TOURBILLON PRINCE 6.7% 14.82 1
7 3 NEVER PETER OUT 6.0% 16.80 11
8 6 YOUNG BRILLIANT 3.6% 27.57 10
9 4 GENTLEMEN LEGACY 3.6% 28.07 2
10 12 ILLUMINOUS 3.0% 33.54 12
11 5 ARIEL 2.9% 34.46 6
12 13 CHARITY TOGETHER 1.7% 59.16 9
13 11 PRESTIGE RICKY 1.3% 74.82 3
14 10 LEGENDARY YEARS 0.7% 136.94 14
FLYING LUCKMAGNIFICENT NINEORIENTAL SMOKEWINNING GOLDFIGHTING MACHINETOURBILLON PRINCE — wonNEVER PETER OUTYOUNG BRILLIANTGENTLEMEN LEGACYILLUMINOUSARIELCHARITY TOGETHERPRESTIGE RICKYLEGENDARY YEARS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 118.5

PLACE

2 36

4 39.5

11 100

QUINELLA

2,4 856

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 233

2,11 757

4,11 798

FORECAST

2,4 1,683

TIERCE

2,4,11 45,722

TRIO

2,4,11 7,602

FIRST 4

2,4,7,11 8,541

QUARTET

2,4,11,7 222,715

All pools (4 more)

10TH DOUBLE

11/2 280

11/4 61.5

2ND TREBLE

8/11/2 3,199

8/11/4 717

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,6,11/2,4,11 761,534

SIX UP

2,11/1,4/2,7/3,8/6,11/2,4 9,406

11/1/2/8/11/2 118,074

2 [H Bowman] —

1 [J Size] —