Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 08:10
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Group 3 over 1200m. HELIOS EXPRESS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by J Size, won by SH, with INVINCIBLE SAGE second and PATCH OF THETA third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELIOS EXPRESS 1.08.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 11 | 2.0 | SH |
| 2 | 7 | INVINCIBLE SAGE CP B Thompson · D J Hall | B Thompson | D J Hall | 6 | 20.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | PATCH OF THETA XB K De Melo · K W Lui | K De Melo | K W Lui | 4 | 3.7 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 1 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | COPARTNER PRANCE XB A Badel · K W Lui | A Badel | K W Lui | 7 | 48.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | LADY'S CHOICE B M Chadwick · C W Chang | M Chadwick | C W Chang | 5 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU L Ferraris · F C Lor | L Ferraris | F C Lor | 10 | 22.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 8 | MUGEN A Atzeni · P C Ng | A Atzeni | P C Ng | 1 | 15.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES E-/P-/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 2 | 20.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 6 | MAGIC CONTROL TT M F Poon · W K Mo | M F Poon | W K Mo | 8 | 38.0 | 5-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HELIOS EXPRESS | 25.8% | 3.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 5 | PATCH OF THETA | 15.6% | 6.39 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 14.2% | 7.02 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | LADY'S CHOICE | 9.3% | 10.70 | 7 |
| 5 | 8 | MUGEN | 6.7% | 14.94 | 9 |
| 6 | 7 | INVINCIBLE SAGE | 6.6% | 15.07 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY WITH YOU | 4.9% | 20.28 | 8 |
| 8 | 6 | MAGIC CONTROL | 4.9% | 20.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 10 | BEAUTY WAVES | 4.6% | 21.75 | 10 |
| 10 | 9 | COPARTNER PRANCE | 4.2% | 23.58 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 3.0% | 33.38 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 20.5
PLACE
2 13
5 13.5
7 40
QUINELLA
2,7 168
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 21
2,7 55
5,7 79.5
FORECAST
2,7 191
TIERCE
2,7,5 749
TRIO
2,5,7 154
FIRST 4
1,2,5,7 608
QUARTET
2,7,5,1 6,202
All pools (1 more)
7TH DOUBLE
1/2 26
1/7 64.5