Sha Tin · 2025-05-31 · 09:20
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2025-05-31 was Class 2 over 1650m. TALENTS AMBITION, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by M Newnham, won by N, with SOLEIL FIGHTER second and TELECOM FIGHTERS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | TALENTS AMBITION Closed strongly B/XB 1.39.12 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · M Newnham | L Hewitson | M Newnham | 4 | 3.1 | N |
| 2 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER XB/CP1 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 11 | 7.3 | N |
| 3 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS Led early Y L Chung · Y S Tsui | Y L Chung | Y S Tsui | 9 | 30.0 | N |
| 4 | 13 | TURIN MASCOT Closed strongly PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 1 | 8.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly XB H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 2 | 22.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | SING DRAGON Closed strongly TT1 M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 10 | 7.9 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | SELF IMPROVEMENT B-/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 3 | 25.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | NOISY BOY Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 6 | 9.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | HELENE FEELING B/TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 18.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 10 | MUST GO E/PC/TT A Atzeni · J Size | A Atzeni | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 11 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY B/TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 8 | 12.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 3 | CAPITAL DELIGHT B-/V1/TT B Avdulla · C Fownes | B Avdulla | C Fownes | 12 | 25.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY CP/TT L Ferraris · P F Yiu | L Ferraris | P F Yiu | 13 | 45.0 | 11 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SOLEIL FIGHTER | 23.6% | 4.24 | 2 |
| 2 | 10 | MUST GO | 17.1% | 5.84 | 10 |
| 3 | 11 | TALENTS AMBITION | 14.3% | 7.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 2 | CALIFORNIATOTALITY | 8.6% | 11.57 | 11 |
| 5 | 9 | SING DRAGON | 6.2% | 16.24 | 6 |
| 6 | 1 | HELENE FEELING | 5.7% | 17.66 | 9 |
| 7 | 13 | TURIN MASCOT | 4.2% | 23.82 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | SELF IMPROVEMENT | 3.8% | 26.17 | 7 |
| 9 | 7 | NOISY BOY | 3.6% | 27.48 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | YELLOWFIN | 3.5% | 28.56 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | MR ASCENDENCY | 3.3% | 29.95 | 13 |
| 12 | 3 | CAPITAL DELIGHT | 3.2% | 31.50 | 12 |
| 13 | 5 | TELECOM FIGHTERS | 2.9% | 34.43 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 31.5
PLACE
5 73
6 24.5
11 14
QUINELLA
6,11 134
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 265
5,11 201.5
6,11 51
FORECAST
11,6 175
TIERCE
11,6,5 2,898
TRIO
5,6,11 860
FIRST 4
5,6,11,13 1,138
QUARTET
11,6,5,13 18,424
All pools (1 more)
9TH DOUBLE
8/6 90.5
8/11 305.5