沙田 · 2025-06-08 · 08:25
第 4場
2025-06-08沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1600米。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的PING HAI COMET勝出，贏出2。ETALON OR獲得亞軍；PEARL OF PANG'S獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.1倍大熱門ETALON OR跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PING HAI COMET 後段發力 H 1.34.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 1 | 4.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ETALON OR 後段發力 B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 4 | 2.1 | 2 |
| 3 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 6 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HAPPY UNIVERSE 後段發力 P H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 14 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | BRAVE WITNESS 後段發力 XB/TT A Atzeni · D Eustace | A Atzeni | D Eustace | 3 | 62.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE 後段發力 B/SR L Ferraris · C H Yip | L Ferraris | C H Yip | 9 | 36.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 7 | CARRYON SMILING 後段發力 CP/TT K De Melo · W Y So | K De Melo | W Y So | 11 | 20.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | ACE 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 65.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 1 | MATSU VICTOR B M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 13 | 23.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | TIMES TABLE CP J Orman · M Newnham | J Orman | M Newnham | 2 | 12.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | CALIFORNIA SUN CP/XB/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 5 | 14.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | RADIANT SWIFT B B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 8 | 240.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 10 | EVERYONE'S CLASSIC TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 10 | 59.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | ACE WAR 早段領放 B2/TT1 P N Wong · D J Whyte | P N Wong | D J Whyte | 12 | 52.0 | 39-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | PING HAI COMET | 25.9% | 3.87 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | ETALON OR | 18.3% | 5.48 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | TIMES TABLE | 8.4% | 11.88 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | BRAVE WITNESS | 8.3% | 12.09 | 5 |
| 5 | 1 | MATSU VICTOR | 7.6% | 13.21 | 9 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY UNIVERSE | 7.3% | 13.66 | 4 |
| 7 | 7 | CARRYON SMILING | 5.6% | 18.01 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | BRIGHT INHERITANCE | 4.2% | 23.61 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | PEARL OF PANG'S | 3.8% | 26.60 | 3 |
| 10 | 5 | CALIFORNIA SUN | 3.7% | 26.99 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | ACE | 2.6% | 38.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 11 | ACE WAR | 2.6% | 38.67 | 14 |
| 13 | 10 | EVERYONE'S CLASSIC | 1.3% | 76.78 | 13 |
| 14 | 8 | RADIANT SWIFT | 0.5% | 182.11 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
13 48.5
PLACE
4 11
13 18.5
14 26
QUINELLA
4,13 46
QUINELLA PLACE
4,13 23
4,14 36.5
13,14 64.5
FORECAST
13,4 133
TIERCE
13,4,14 702
TRIO
4,13,14 137
FIRST 4
4,9,13,14 539
QUARTET
13,4,14,9 9,704
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,8,10/4,13,14 49,543
3RD DOUBLE
10/4 103.5
10/13 1,395