沙田 · 2025-06-08 · 08:25
第 8場
2025-06-08沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1400米。由L Ferraris策騎、K W Lui訓練的SUPERB KID勝出，贏出1。BRILLIANT EXPRESS獲得亞軍；GLORIOUS SUCCESS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.4倍大熱門BRILLIANT EXPRESS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPERB KID 後段發力 CP 1.21.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · K W Lui | L Ferraris | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS 後段發力 H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 2.4 | 1 |
| 3 | 10 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace | K Teetan | D Eustace | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | THE ABSOLUTE 後段發力 B/XB/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting | L Hewitson | K H Ting | 4 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 13 | SUPER UNICORN 後段發力 B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham | M Chadwick | M Newnham | 7 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 早段領放 B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung | B Thompson | T P Yung | 10 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 2 | TOP GUN V A Atzeni · F C Lor | A Atzeni | F C Lor | 8 | 30.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | ALL ROUND WINNER 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 11 | 62.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 14 | 19.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | VIEW OF THE WORLD TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 5 | 79.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 8 | FLYING KNIGHT CP1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo | K C Leung | W K Mo | 1 | 9.2 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 12 | 79.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 6 | DRAGON JOY TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.1 | 28-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | NUCLEOZOR TT E C W Wong · C S Shum | E C W Wong | C S Shum | 6 | 61.0 | 55-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BRILLIANT EXPRESS | 36.3% | 2.75 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | THE ABSOLUTE | 9.1% | 10.96 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | SUPER UNICORN | 8.8% | 11.32 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS | 7.7% | 12.93 | 6 |
| 5 | 10 | GLORIOUS SUCCESS | 6.7% | 14.91 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | SUPERB KID | 5.3% | 18.87 | 1 |
| 7 | 6 | DRAGON JOY | 4.9% | 20.37 | 13 |
| 8 | 9 | RISING FROM ASHES | 4.6% | 21.69 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | FLYING KNIGHT | 3.6% | 27.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 2 | TOP GUN | 3.1% | 32.71 | 7 |
| 11 | 3 | NUCLEOZOR | 3.0% | 33.66 | 14 |
| 12 | 12 | ALL ROUND WINNER | 2.8% | 35.26 | 8 |
| 13 | 5 | VIEW OF THE WORLD | 2.3% | 44.03 | 10 |
| 14 | 11 | IGOR STRAVINSKY | 1.7% | 58.35 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 117.5
PLACE
1 14
4 28
10 32.5
QUINELLA
1,4 148.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 61.5
1,10 55.5
4,10 173.5
FORECAST
4,1 474
TIERCE
4,1,10 3,764
TRIO
1,4,10 566
FIRST 4
1,4,10,14 1,094
QUARTET
4,1,10,14 28,583
全部彩池（另 2 項）
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,7/1,4,10 6,437
7TH DOUBLE
7/1 13
7/4 240.5