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Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 16:24

Race 8

Class 3 1400m Course C 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K W Lui 3 11.0 1
2 1 BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 13 2.4 1
3 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 9 13.0 1-1/2
4 14 THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting 4 12.0 1-3/4
5 13 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham 7 18.0 1-3/4
6 7 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Led early B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung 10 8.0 1-3/4
7 2 TOP GUN V A Atzeni · F C Lor 8 30.0 2-1/4
8 12 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 11 62.0 3
9 9 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang 14 19.0 3-3/4
10 5 VIEW OF THE WORLD TT C L Chau · C H Yip 5 79.0 4
11 8 FLYING KNIGHT CP1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo 1 9.2 5-3/4
12 11 IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 79.0 6-1/4
13 6 DRAGON JOY TT J Orman · P F Yiu 2 8.1 28-3/4
14 3 NUCLEOZOR TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 6 61.0 55-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 3 over 1400m. SUPERB KID, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with BRILLIANT EXPRESS second and GLORIOUS SUCCESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite BRILLIANT EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERB KID—2. BRILLIANT EXPRESS+1L3. GLORIOUS SUCCESS+1.5L4. THE ABSOLUTE+1.75L5. SUPER UNICORN+1.75L6. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+1.75L7. TOP GUN+2.25L8. ALL ROUND WINNER+3L9. RISING FROM ASHES+3.75L10. VIEW OF THE WORLD+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BRILLIANT EXPRESS (36.3%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPERB KID was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BRILLIANT EXPRESS 36.3% 2.75 2
2 14 THE ABSOLUTE 9.1% 10.96 4
3 13 SUPER UNICORN 8.8% 11.32 5
4 7 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 7.7% 12.93 6
5 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 6.7% 14.91 3
6 4 SUPERB KID 5.3% 18.87 1
7 6 DRAGON JOY 4.9% 20.37 13
8 9 RISING FROM ASHES 4.6% 21.69 9
9 8 FLYING KNIGHT 3.6% 27.68 11
10 2 TOP GUN 3.1% 32.71 7
11 3 NUCLEOZOR 3.0% 33.66 14
12 12 ALL ROUND WINNER 2.8% 35.26 8
13 5 VIEW OF THE WORLD 2.3% 44.03 10
14 11 IGOR STRAVINSKY 1.7% 58.35 12
BRILLIANT EXPRESSTHE ABSOLUTESUPER UNICORNEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSGLORIOUS SUCCESSSUPERB KID — wonDRAGON JOYRISING FROM ASHESFLYING KNIGHTTOP GUNNUCLEOZORALL ROUND WINNERVIEW OF THE WORLDIGOR STRAVINSKY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 117.5

PLACE

1 14

4 28

10 32.5

QUINELLA

1,4 148.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 61.5

1,10 55.5

4,10 173.5

FORECAST

4,1 474

TIERCE

4,1,10 3,764

TRIO

1,4,10 566

FIRST 4

1,4,10,14 1,094

QUARTET

4,1,10,14 28,583

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,7/1,4,10 6,437

7TH DOUBLE

7/1 13

7/4 240.5