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Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 08:25

Race 8

Class 3 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 3 over 1400m. SUPERB KID, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with BRILLIANT EXPRESS second and GLORIOUS SUCCESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite BRILLIANT EXPRESS finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.21.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 4 SUPERB KID Closed strongly CP 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · K W Lui 3 11.0 1
2 1 BRILLIANT EXPRESS Closed strongly H Bowman · J Size 13 2.4 1
3 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · D Eustace 9 13.0 1-1/2
4 14 THE ABSOLUTE Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Hewitson · K H Ting 4 12.0 1-3/4
5 13 SUPER UNICORN Closed strongly B/TT M Chadwick · M Newnham 7 18.0 1-3/4
6 7 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS Led early B/TT B Thompson · T P Yung 10 8.0 1-3/4
7 2 TOP GUN V A Atzeni · F C Lor 8 30.0 2-1/4
8 12 ALL ROUND WINNER Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 11 62.0 3
9 9 RISING FROM ASHES Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · C W Chang 14 19.0 3-3/4
10 5 VIEW OF THE WORLD TT C L Chau · C H Yip 5 79.0 4
11 8 FLYING KNIGHT CP1/TT1 K C Leung · W K Mo 1 9.2 5-3/4
12 11 IGOR STRAVINSKY B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 12 79.0 6-1/4
13 6 DRAGON JOY TT J Orman · P F Yiu 2 8.1 28-3/4
14 3 NUCLEOZOR TT E C W Wong · C S Shum 6 61.0 55-1/2

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPERB KID2. BRILLIANT EXPRESS+1L3. GLORIOUS SUCCESS+1.5L4. THE ABSOLUTE+1.75L5. SUPER UNICORN+1.75L6. EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS+1.75L7. TOP GUN+2.25L8. ALL ROUND WINNER+3L9. RISING FROM ASHES+3.75L10. VIEW OF THE WORLD+4L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2024-25
The model's top pick BRILLIANT EXPRESS (36.3%) finished 2nd — the winner SUPERB KID was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 1 BRILLIANT EXPRESS 36.3% 2.75 2
2 14 THE ABSOLUTE 9.1% 10.96 4
3 13 SUPER UNICORN 8.8% 11.32 5
4 7 EIGHTY LIGHT YEARS 7.7% 12.93 6
5 10 GLORIOUS SUCCESS 6.7% 14.91 3
6 4 SUPERB KID 5.3% 18.87 1
7 6 DRAGON JOY 4.9% 20.37 13
8 9 RISING FROM ASHES 4.6% 21.69 9
9 8 FLYING KNIGHT 3.6% 27.68 11
10 2 TOP GUN 3.1% 32.71 7
11 3 NUCLEOZOR 3.0% 33.66 14
12 12 ALL ROUND WINNER 2.8% 35.26 8
13 5 VIEW OF THE WORLD 2.3% 44.03 10
14 11 IGOR STRAVINSKY 1.7% 58.35 12
BRILLIANT EXPRESSTHE ABSOLUTESUPER UNICORNEIGHTY LIGHT YEARSGLORIOUS SUCCESSSUPERB KID — wonDRAGON JOYRISING FROM ASHESFLYING KNIGHTTOP GUNNUCLEOZORALL ROUND WINNERVIEW OF THE WORLDIGOR STRAVINSKY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 117.5

PLACE

1 14

4 28

10 32.5

QUINELLA

1,4 148.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 61.5

1,10 55.5

4,10 173.5

FORECAST

4,1 474

TIERCE

4,1,10 3,764

TRIO

1,4,10 566

FIRST 4

1,4,10,14 1,094

QUARTET

4,1,10,14 28,583

All pools (2 more)

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,6,7/1,4,10 6,437

7TH DOUBLE

7/1 13

7/4 240.5