Sha Tin · 2025-06-08 · 08:25
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2025-06-08 was Class 5 over 1400m. SKY PROPHET, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by C Fownes, won by HD, with ONLY U second and ISLAND GOLDEN third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 1.8 favourite ONLY U finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SKY PROPHET Closed strongly TT 1.22.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 13 | 19.0 | HD |
| 2 | 1 | ONLY U Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 1.8 | HD |
| 3 | 8 | ISLAND GOLDEN Closed strongly TT P N Wong · K L Man | P N Wong | K L Man | 10 | 63.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 14 | LAPRAS BO/TT M Chadwick · W K Mo | M Chadwick | W K Mo | 8 | 16.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 4 | YOUNG HORIZON Closed strongly H-/CP2 H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | THE CONCENTRATION Closed strongly PC-/TT J Orman · P F Yiu | J Orman | P F Yiu | 6 | 27.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | CASHISCASH Led early L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 5.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | MR GOOD VIBES V-/B2/TT1 K Teetan · D J Hall | K Teetan | D J Hall | 2 | 68.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 7 | POCHETTINO H-/P2/TT B Thompson · J Size | B Thompson | J Size | 5 | 25.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 13 | ORIENTAL TYCOON Closed strongly K C Leung · C W Chang | K C Leung | C W Chang | 1 | 113.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | EVER SMART Closed strongly TT A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 11 | 13.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER TT A Atzeni · W Y So | A Atzeni | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 3 | LUCKY GOLD Closed strongly V M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 12 | 43.0 | 6 |
| 14 | 12 | FIRE BALL CP C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 14 | 38.0 | 14-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | ONLY U | 31.9% | 3.14 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | LAPRAS | 14.3% | 6.99 | 4 |
| 3 | 4 | YOUNG HORIZON | 8.0% | 12.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 11 | EVER SMART | 7.1% | 14.09 | 11 |
| 5 | 6 | MANYTHANKS FOREVER | 6.5% | 15.30 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 | MR GOOD VIBES | 6.5% | 15.40 | 8 |
| 7 | 2 | CASHISCASH | 6.3% | 15.84 | 7 |
| 8 | 10 | SKY PROPHET | 4.1% | 24.63 | 1 |
| 9 | 3 | LUCKY GOLD | 3.8% | 26.56 | 13 |
| 10 | 5 | THE CONCENTRATION | 3.5% | 28.51 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 2.1% | 46.66 | 3 |
| 12 | 12 | FIRE BALL | 2.1% | 47.11 | 14 |
| 13 | 7 | POCHETTINO | 2.1% | 48.71 | 9 |
| 14 | 13 | ORIENTAL TYCOON | 1.7% | 57.57 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 192
PLACE
1 11
8 145.5
10 52.5
QUINELLA
1,10 189.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,8 246.5
1,10 72.5
8,10 1,566.5
FORECAST
10,1 672
TIERCE
10,1,8 30,771
TRIO
1,8,10 3,914
FIRST 4
1,8,10,14 12,517
QUARTET
10,1,8,14 493,091
All pools (1 more)
2ND DOUBLE
7/1 71.5
7/10 2,669